NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	116		Excitement	6.5 [560]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (ATL): +21.4%
Atlanta Hawks	128		Comeback	3.3 [419]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -14.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	18	59%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	75%	0.15	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.02	0.03	18	64%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	9	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dairis Bertans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	11	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cheick Diallo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.19	0.02	-0.01	18	73%	0.23	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	6	73%	0.15	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	15	68%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	16	59%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	7	76%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	10	65%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	0.00	14	29%	-0.11	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	29.5	15.4	25.5	2.3	26.4	124.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +25.8%

ATL +1.7%

ATL +25.9%

NOP -4.4%

ATL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ATL	NBA	NOP	ATL	NBA
this game	13.7	13.8	14.3	111.5	121.9	109.3
season	13.4	13.6		110.2	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.2		112.6	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.3	11.9	14.5	14.5	13.7
ATL	13.3	12.5	14.3	15.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	47	47	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-14	16	14.1	13.5	0.63	12.9	14.5	-1.60
Jahlil Okafor	20	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-13	14	12.2	14.1	-1.85	14.1	13.8	0.29
Julius Randle	73	73	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-14	16	14.2	12.7	1.51	14.0	13.3	0.73
Dairis Bertans	15	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-8	4	13.6	13.8	-0.16	12.7	14.0	-1.27
Frank Jackson	69	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-9	6	13.9	13.4	0.56	13.5	14.5	-1.06
Solomon Hill	35	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-6	0	12.8	14.2	-1.42	14.6	13.5	1.09
Ian Clark	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-5	-2	13.5	13.9	-0.48	14.4	13.4	1.02
Darius Miller	62	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-7	2	13.3	14.3	-0.99	14.3	13.1	1.13
Kenrich Williams	65	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	1	-14	14.0	13.4	0.61	13.6	14.2	-0.66
Elfrid Payton	66	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	0	-12	14.2	12.9	1.29	14.0	13.5	0.54
Cheick Diallo	26	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	3	-18	13.5	13.8	-0.32	13.3	14.0	-0.75

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	43	42	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.02	26	-14	40	14.5	13.4	1.09	14.4	13.3	1.11
Jaylen Adams	37	36	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.05	19	-7	26	13.7	13.9	-0.22	13.8	13.7	0.14
Kent Bazemore	47	46	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-3	18	13.7	13.9	-0.17	14.0	13.5	0.54
Vince Carter	36	37	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	3	6	12.5	14.5	-2.05	13.4	13.9	-0.52
DeAndre' Bembry	30	29	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	7	-2	14.3	13.6	0.63	13.2	13.9	-0.74
Kevin Huerter	65	66	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	5	2	13.9	13.7	0.15	14.0	13.3	0.63
John Collins	65	65	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	6	0	14.7	12.4	2.25	13.8	13.7	0.04
Taurean Prince	70	68	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	16	-20	13.3	14.8	-1.51	13.5	14.2	-0.78
Trae Young	68	68	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	19	-26	13.9	13.7	0.22	13.7	13.8	-0.14
Alex Len	64	63	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.33	-16	28	-44	13.6	14.1	-0.50	13.6	14.0	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CLE 73, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
CHA 86, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%