NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	128		Excitement	2.6 [1246]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (BOS): +17.6%
Golden State Warriors	95		Comeback	1.0 [424]		LVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): -11.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.28	0.00	0.10	16	88%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	13	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	16	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	15	56%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	87%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.00	-0.03	16	66%	0.13	4	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jacob Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	8	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	64%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	12	37%	-0.02	4	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	16	43%	-0.02	5	-0.09	10	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.8	33.0	13.6	26.8	2.8	30.2	134.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.5%

GSW -1.6%

GSW -0.3%

BOS +14.1%

BOS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	13.2	14.0	14.3	120.8	89.6	109.3
season	13.9	13.4		109.9	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.7		108.9	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	11.9	12.7	14.0	13.2
GSW	14.0	14.2	11.7	16.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	62	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.47	32	1	31	12.5	14.1	-1.68	13.9	14.2	-0.24
Jaylen Brown	59	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.34	23	10	13	12.8	13.6	-0.80	14.0	14.0	0.03
Kyrie Irving	71	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.28	20	13	7	13.0	13.5	-0.54	12.3	17.4	-5.09
Marcus Smart	57	57	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	25	-17	13.9	12.2	1.68	12.6	15.7	-3.11
Aron Baynes	30	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	26	-19	13.9	12.8	1.09	15.1	13.6	1.57
Jayson Tatum	57	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	29	-25	14.1	12.0	2.14	15.4	12.5	2.83
Terry Rozier	49	49	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.52	25	8	17	12.2	13.9	-1.68	15.7	12.6	3.11
Daniel Theis	26	26	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.31	15	18	-3	12.8	13.3	-0.45	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Marcus Morris	40	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	29	-25	13.9	12.7	1.16	13.6	14.3	-0.69
Al Horford	50	49	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.24	11	22	-11	12.9	13.4	-0.55	13.4	14.6	-1.21
Semi Ojeleye	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.20	8	25	-17	13.0	13.2	-0.17	15.6	13.8	1.76
Brad Wanamaker	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	28	-23	12.9	13.2	-0.28	16.4	13.8	2.63
Guerschon Yabusele	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	30	-27	12.6	13.2	-0.62	17.4	13.8	3.65

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	27	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-30	27	15.0	13.7	1.37	13.6	13.0	0.57
Quinn Cook	34	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.24	-12	-21	9	16.3	12.9	3.35	12.9	13.3	-0.40
Damion Lee	60	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.35	-17	-16	-1	13.2	15.1	-1.85	13.2	13.1	0.10
Jacob Evans	33	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	-20	7	17.5	12.4	5.12	13.4	13.0	0.35
Andre Iguodala	29	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.31	-17	-16	-1	14.3	13.9	0.35	12.1	13.6	-1.42
Alfonzo McKinnie	39	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.14	-12	-21	9	14.7	13.6	1.11	12.9	13.3	-0.44
Jordan Bell	55	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.53	-26	-7	-19	12.6	15.6	-3.02	12.3	14.0	-1.74
DeMarcus Cousins	54	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-27	21	15.0	13.0	1.92	14.2	12.1	2.08
Kevin Durant	73	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.27	-20	-13	-7	12.4	17.5	-5.12	13.0	13.4	-0.35
Stephen Curry	72	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.23	-21	-12	-9	12.9	16.3	-3.35	13.3	12.9	0.40
Draymond Green	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	-15	-3	14.3	13.7	0.57	13.5	12.8	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 99, DET 78	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
SAS 101, PHX 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
ORL 105, TOR 69	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%