NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	3.0 [1138]		MVP	George Lynch (PHI): +3.7%
Detroit Pistons	78		Comeback	1.0 [1138]		LVP	Ben Wallace (DET): -6.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	61%	0.05	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	36	49%	0.05	3	-0.03	16	75%	-0.00
Tyrone Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	20%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	35%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	16	37%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	28	39%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.3	25.7	18.3	23.0	2.5	25.6	123.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.9%

PHI +5.3%

PHI +2.7%

PHI +3.1%

PHI +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.8	14.4	15.5	104.2	81.2	100.9
season	15.7	14.3		101.4	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		99.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	14.9	16.4	16.8	15.8
DET	13.8	17.1	11.9	15.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.21	26	-5	31	15.9	15.0	0.94	14.8	12.2	2.64
George Lynch	73	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	9	3	15.0	18.3	-3.30	14.2	15.1	-0.97
Dikembe Mutombo	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.02	10	11	-1	16.0	15.3	0.70	15.8	10.8	5.02
Jumaine Jones	42	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	8	5	15.3	16.2	-0.84	15.0	13.9	1.13
Eric Snow	58	62	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	9	3	16.2	15.1	1.10	14.8	13.6	1.19
Matt Geiger	33	35	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	8	5	16.0	15.7	0.29	12.7	15.4	-2.67
Tyrone Hill	55	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	14	-7	16.4	14.9	1.52	13.3	15.6	-2.27
Aaron McKie	54	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	15	-9	16.1	15.4	0.73	14.0	14.9	-0.86
Todd MacCulloch	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	13.0	15.9	-2.90	10.3	14.5	-4.18
Rodney Buford	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	13.0	15.9	-2.90	10.3	14.5	-4.18
Kevin Ollie	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	13.0	15.9	-2.90	10.3	14.5	-4.18

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	10.3	14.5	-4.18	13.0	15.9	-2.90
Mateen Cleaves	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-21	21	14.2	14.4	-0.15	13.3	16.2	-2.86
Mikki Moore	26	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-18	15	13.5	14.7	-1.21	15.9	15.7	0.19
Billy Owens	21	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-17	13	16.5	13.8	2.74	13.5	16.5	-3.02
Chucky Atkins	46	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-14	7	14.7	14.1	0.64	16.9	14.6	2.29
Corliss Williamson	31	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-15	9	12.5	15.3	-2.86	15.6	15.8	-0.23
John Wallace	28	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-11	1	15.0	14.1	0.87	14.2	16.4	-2.18
Joe Smith	56	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-11	1	14.2	14.7	-0.54	16.9	14.2	2.67
Michael Curry	52	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	-10	-1	13.6	15.3	-1.64	16.1	15.4	0.63
Dana Barros	59	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	-5	-11	14.4	14.3	0.10	15.3	16.5	-1.24
Ben Wallace	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	-6	-9	15.5	12.4	3.06	15.8	15.7	0.13
Jerry Stackhouse	84	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.12	-21	0	-21	14.4	14.2	0.15	16.2	13.3	2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
BOS 128, GSW 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
HOU 102, LAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%