NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	113		Excitement	6.3 [607]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (LAC): +21.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	2.6 [294]		LVP	Kyle Kuzma (LAL): -15.0%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	15	70%	0.24	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	9	67%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	15	60%	0.16	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Landry Shamet	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	8	63%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	8	72%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sindarius Thornwell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	15	44%	0.01	4	-0.12	2	0%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	11	68%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	18	56%	0.13	2	-0.04	12	67%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	18	67%	0.18	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Alex Caruso	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	15	41%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.1	1.5	28.4	15.2	25.8	1.8	28.3	133.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +45.6%

LAC +2.8%

LAC +4.4%

LAL -3.7%

LAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	13.9	14.3	110.8	105.0	109.3
season	13.9	13.5		111.3	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.1		108.7	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	11.9	12.7	15.0	19.9	14.6
LAL	13.4	14.0	16.3	11.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Montrezl Harrell	75	73	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	-3	14	14.3	15.4	-1.07	13.2	15.9	-2.69
Lou Williams	66	63	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	0	8	14.7	14.4	0.35	12.9	15.6	-2.66
Landry Shamet	73	73	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	2	4	15.4	12.6	2.89	13.8	14.1	-0.25
Patrick Beverley	73	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	4	0	16.0	11.0	5.01	13.9	14.0	-0.10
JaMychal Green	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	1	6	12.6	16.2	-3.61	13.2	14.4	-1.17
Danilo Gallinari	57	55	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	7	-6	16.2	12.6	3.61	14.4	13.2	1.17
Garrett Temple	27	26	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	4	0	12.7	15.3	-2.60	13.7	13.9	-0.22
Tyrone Wallace	16	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	5	-2	9.6	15.6	-6.00	14.8	13.7	1.07
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	50	50	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	9	-10	14.0	15.2	-1.21	14.9	12.8	2.10
Sindarius Thornwell	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	8	-8	6.0	14.7	-8.70	21.0	13.8	7.18
Ivica Zubac	27	27	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	11	-14	15.4	14.3	1.07	15.9	13.2	2.69

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Kuzma	75	76	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-11	14	14.3	12.7	1.61	14.7	14.2	0.52
JaVale McGee	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-8	8	15.4	13.4	1.95	17.2	13.8	3.37
Moritz Wagner	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-1	-6	15.7	13.6	2.11	7.1	15.6	-8.54
Mike Muscala	32	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-7	6	14.0	13.9	0.12	12.9	15.4	-2.48
Alex Caruso	12	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-4	0	12.8	14.0	-1.20	11.1	15.1	-4.01
Rajon Rondo	76	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-9	10	13.9	13.9	0.02	16.2	9.8	6.43
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	42	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-3	-2	12.8	14.7	-1.86	14.7	14.5	0.22
Reggie Bullock	73	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	0	-8	14.1	13.3	0.76	14.8	14.0	0.84
Josh Hart	64	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	0	-8	13.0	15.5	-2.47	14.1	15.6	-1.50
LeBron James	90	90	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	3	-14	14.0	13.0	0.99	14.7	14.2	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.48,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 103, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
BOS 101, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.3,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
SAS 96, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.06,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.02,0	93.6%