NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	6.2 [576]		MVP	Brandon Bass (BOS): +17.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	2.3 [750]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -13.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	13	70%	0.17	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Jared Sullinger	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.03	0.05	15	67%	0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Marcus Thornton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	9	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	13	41%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	5	64%	0.07	6	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02
Avery Bradley	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	11	32%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.01	3	133%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	12	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Drew Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	11	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	19	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.03
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	13	39%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	28.5	15.4	27.6	2.3	27.4	124.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.6%

PHI -0.5%

BOS +3.3%

BOS +3.0%

BOS +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	15.1	101.0	91.8	104.2
season	14.3	14.9		103.1	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.4		103.4	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	14.5	12.8	14.8	13.9
PHI	14.7	14.3	16.0	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	68	64	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.16	19	-8	27	14.0	13.8	0.20	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Jeff Green	77	78	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	0	11	14.2	13.1	1.03	15.2	15.1	0.11
Marcus Thornton	44	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	0	11	13.4	14.3	-0.91	15.1	15.2	-0.12
Rajon Rondo	61	60	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	4	3	14.5	13.0	1.55	15.3	15.1	0.21
Phil Pressey	29	28	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	5	1	12.6	14.5	-1.83	15.2	15.2	0.04
Jared Sullinger	62	63	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	5	1	14.3	13.3	1.02	15.4	14.9	0.51
Avery Bradley	56	55	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	11	-11	14.3	13.4	0.91	15.2	15.1	0.12
Evan Turner	33	30	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	13	-15	13.4	14.2	-0.79	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Tyler Zeller	17	16	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	9	-7	13.7	14.0	-0.26	14.6	15.3	-0.67
Kelly Olynyk	53	53	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	16	-21	13.5	14.4	-0.99	15.4	15.0	0.38

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ McDaniels	22	24	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-15	19	14.4	15.4	-1.00	13.5	14.1	-0.61
Drew Gordon	24	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-6	1	14.6	15.4	-0.74	13.1	14.2	-1.12
Henry Sims	65	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-8	5	15.8	14.0	1.83	14.1	13.6	0.47
Brandon Davies	32	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-8	5	14.8	15.4	-0.60	14.3	13.7	0.52
Luc Mbah a Moute	67	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-8	5	15.5	14.5	0.98	14.3	13.1	1.26
Tony Wroten	56	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-7	3	14.6	16.0	-1.47	14.2	13.4	0.78
Michael Carter-Williams	67	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-5	-1	15.6	14.4	1.21	14.4	13.0	1.35
Hollis Thompson	57	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-2	-7	15.5	14.7	0.78	13.2	14.8	-1.52
Robert Covington	29	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	0	-11	13.7	15.8	-2.12	13.4	14.2	-0.80
Nerlens Noel	71	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	4	-19	15.4	14.6	0.87	13.7	14.4	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.3,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 79, TOR 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0	94.0%
SAS 96, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
LAC 113, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.48,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.7%