NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	5.2 [821]		MVP	Deandre Ayton (PHX): +19.9%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	1.2 [379]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (LAL): -14.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.20	0.03	0.05	10	95%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Hart	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.02	19	60%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Mike Muscala	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	52%	-0.02	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.02
Reggie Bullock	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07	0.05	-0.07	0.05	21	55%	-0.01	3	-0.06	7	43%	-0.03
Rajon Rondo	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	10	18%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.06	0.01	11	72%	0.22	1	-0.02	14	71%	-0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.00	8	60%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.02	18	56%	0.15	4	-0.08	9	100%	0.05
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	57%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	5	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.3	30.3	14.8	28.8	1.8	39.3	143.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +25.4%

PHX +22.0%

PHX +1.2%

PHX +2.5%

LAL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.0	15.2	14.3	110.1	120.4	109.3
season	13.5	14.4		107.2	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.2		114.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	14.0	13.7	13.8	14.0
PHX	16.0	13.7	14.0	17.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	13	14	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-13	17	11.8	14.4	-2.51	17.1	14.9	2.25
JaVale McGee	52	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-18	27	13.0	15.2	-2.21	16.1	14.1	1.96
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-5	1	14.1	14.0	0.14	15.5	15.1	0.39
Moritz Wagner	3	4	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-3	-3	13.7	14.0	-0.38	8.5	15.5	-7.00
Tyson Chandler	12	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-3	-3	14.0	14.0	-0.03	14.6	15.3	-0.65
Josh Hart	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-7	5	13.7	14.4	-0.63	16.6	13.7	2.87
Kyle Kuzma	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-6	3	14.3	13.3	1.01	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Rajon Rondo	56	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	4	-17	14.4	13.6	0.75	14.1	16.7	-2.56
Reggie Bullock	40	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.16	-18	9	-27	15.4	13.1	2.34	13.9	16.0	-2.08
LeBron James	84	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-8	7	13.8	15.3	-1.46	15.5	13.7	1.83
Brandon Ingram	81	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-4	-1	14.3	12.8	1.46	15.0	16.1	-1.03

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	81	82	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-4	17	15.1	15.9	-0.88	13.9	14.8	-0.89
Kelly Oubre Jr.	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-5	19	14.0	17.4	-3.44	14.1	13.9	0.13
Deandre Ayton	70	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	7	-5	15.3	15.1	0.20	14.0	14.1	-0.05
Tyler Johnson	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	6	-3	15.6	14.5	1.12	13.3	15.1	-1.77
De'Anthony Melton	31	33	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	0	9	14.5	15.6	-1.07	15.3	13.4	1.91
Dragan Bender	35	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	2	5	14.7	15.5	-0.82	14.4	13.8	0.63
Mikal Bridges	59	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.29	-5	14	-19	16.5	13.3	3.25	13.6	14.7	-1.05
Josh Jackson	45	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	10	-11	15.9	14.7	1.21	14.2	13.9	0.31
Richaun Holmes	29	30	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.09	7	2	5	14.6	15.5	-0.84	14.1	14.0	0.05
Troy Daniels	17	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	13	-17	15.9	15.1	0.88	14.8	13.9	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.95,0.85,0.96,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.78,0.94,0.92,1	95.1%
MIA 90, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
PHI 95, MEM 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%