NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	126		Excitement	4.6 [934]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (PHI): +10.5%
New York Knicks	111		Comeback	1.1 [1238]		LVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (NYK): -8.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	6	76%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Joel Embiid	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	13	65%	0.17	4	-0.07	14	86%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.18	-0.01	0.08	14	76%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	-0.00	-0.03	10	60%	0.11	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Mike Scott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	64%	0.09	5	-0.07	14	57%	-0.00
James Ennis III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	9	79%	0.13	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.03	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	7	57%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	16	47%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	2	125%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kadeem Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.05	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Mario Hezonja	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	11	29%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	15	39%	-0.03	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	27.7	15.4	34.4	2.5	28.5	139.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.3%

PHI +13.7%

NYK -0.9%

NYK -1.5%

PHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	12.7	14.8	14.3	117.8	107.8	109.3
season	14.0	14.5		110.9	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.1		112.5	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.2	11.6	12.2	14.0	12.7
NYK	16.9	14.7	12.6	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	75	72	0.74	-0.24	0.99	-0.16	31	-16	47	12.3	13.7	-1.44	15.7	12.7	2.98
Tobias Harris	79	76	0.72	-0.22	0.94	-0.07	27	-12	39	12.1	14.4	-2.28	15.2	13.4	1.88
T.J. McConnell	29	28	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	7	1	13.3	12.5	0.78	16.1	14.2	1.90
Boban Marjanovic	28	26	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	9	-3	13.6	12.4	1.21	16.0	14.3	1.71
Joel Embiid	79	77	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	6	3	12.4	13.6	-1.21	14.3	16.0	-1.71
Ben Simmons	78	75	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	8	-1	12.5	13.3	-0.78	14.2	16.1	-1.90
JJ Redick	78	75	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	8	-1	12.5	13.3	-0.78	14.2	16.1	-1.90
James Ennis III	15	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	14	-13	13.3	12.6	0.72	16.4	14.5	1.92
Mike Scott	42	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	20	-25	14.0	11.9	2.12	14.2	15.1	-0.95
Jonathon Simmons	32	31	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.23	-16	31	-47	13.7	12.3	1.44	12.7	15.7	-2.98

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Thomas	35	35	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.27	11	-26	37	13.7	15.3	-1.54	12.6	12.8	-0.21
Mitchell Robinson	62	63	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.32	9	-24	33	14.0	15.9	-1.90	13.3	11.8	1.48
Luke Kornet	61	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.32	9	-24	33	14.1	15.7	-1.58	13.3	11.9	1.34
Kadeem Allen	48	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.19	2	-17	19	14.5	15.0	-0.44	13.6	11.9	1.75
Allonzo Trier	60	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.41	9	-24	33	14.2	15.5	-1.29	12.5	13.0	-0.43
Mario Hezonja	13	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	-6	-3	17.6	14.3	3.27	12.1	12.8	-0.74
Damyean Dotson	64	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	3	-21	14.7	14.9	-0.27	13.2	11.9	1.29
Dennis Smith Jr.	55	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.13	-17	2	-19	15.0	14.5	0.44	11.9	13.6	-1.75
Noah Vonleh	37	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	3	-21	15.8	14.2	1.64	12.2	13.0	-0.85
DeAndre Jordan	41	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.26	-24	9	-33	15.9	14.0	1.90	11.8	13.3	-1.48
Kevin Knox	39	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.39	-29	14	-43	15.7	14.2	1.55	12.2	13.0	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.05,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, CHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.1%
DAL 122, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,0	95.0%
ORL 93, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%