inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 93 Excitement3.6 [1113] MVPJameer Nelson (ORL): +18.8%
Miami Heat 84 Comeback1.1 [583] LVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): -9.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jameer Nelson0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.110.03-0.051670%0.233-0.045100%0.02
DeShawn Stevenson0.100,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.000.00685%0.1000.001100%0.00
Dwight Howard0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.03664%0.061-0.021362%-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0.030,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.070.00-0.091347%0.064-0.034100%0.01
Keyon Dooling0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.040.04-0.03950%0.093-0.0600%0.00
Bo Outlaw0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00267%0.0200.0020%-0.00
Carlos Arroyo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01260%0.0100.001100%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00440%-0.0100.0020%-0.03
Darko Milicic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01533%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Tony Battie-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.02333%0.001-0.0200%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.03-0.041760%0.207-0.141182%0.01
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.020.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Wayne Simien0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.010.02567%0.0200.002100%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.010.02757%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.000.00950%0.033-0.072100%0.01
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.02636%-0.022-0.03250%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.030.011157%0.015-0.10633%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.434.515.828.81.829.2136.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +25.3%
ORL +4.1%
MIA -2.1%
ORL +19.9%
ORL +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game15.816.915.6105.795.5104.4
season16.415.5104.4106.1
opponent15.515.7102.3105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.816.816.316.815.8
MIA15.617.517.217.516.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jameer Nelson67670.55-0.050.600.1115-62115.217.9-2.6516.717.4-0.65
Tony Battie50500.470.030.45-0.0819-102914.517.6-3.0616.617.2-0.62
DeShawn Stevenson52530.390.110.280.0412-31515.017.1-2.1516.817.1-0.28
Hedo Turkoglu73730.370.130.240.1672515.417.9-2.4416.717.7-0.94
Dwight Howard61610.270.230.040.2127-515.516.6-1.0817.016.60.37
Trevor Ariza26260.230.27-0.040.0854116.215.70.4418.116.41.69
Bo Outlaw39390.160.34-0.190.24-312-1517.014.92.1317.216.60.57
Keyon Dooling41400.070.43-0.360.27-716-2317.314.62.7217.216.60.62
Darko Milicic1919-0.000.50-0.500.12-413-1718.915.03.9616.716.9-0.19
Carlos Arroyo1212-0.010.51-0.510.02-110-1118.515.43.0815.217.1-1.89

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kapono24250.10-0.600.71-0.4218-274517.916.51.4217.015.41.67
Michael Doleac14130.07-0.570.63-0.054-131718.716.52.1717.815.52.35
Wayne Simien25250.00-0.500.50-0.4114-233718.416.32.1717.315.32.01
Dorell Wright440.00-0.500.50-0.217-162315.716.9-1.1917.515.81.74
Derek Anderson5554-0.06-0.440.38-0.246-152117.016.80.2117.213.63.58
Shandon Anderson2524-0.20-0.300.100.03-8-1-716.317.1-0.7917.615.22.45
Dwyane Wade7677-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.09-123-1516.916.70.2515.617.3-1.64
Antoine Walker4546-0.46-0.04-0.430.06-189-2717.216.60.5514.417.4-2.95
Gary Payton5150-0.46-0.04-0.430.00-167-2316.617.2-0.6214.717.3-2.64
Udonis Haslem5353-0.48-0.02-0.460.20-2314-3715.918.4-2.5614.517.8-3.25
Shaquille O'Neal6869-0.560.06-0.63-0.07-178-2516.618.0-1.4415.716.4-0.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 122, TOR 1130.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,095.7%
MIA 119, UTA 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
MIN 91, CHI 810.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,095.4%