inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 119 Excitement3.7 [1071] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +16.9%
Utah Jazz 110 Comeback1.0 [359] LVPDerek Fisher (UTA): -7.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.120.02-0.021268%0.204-0.032391%0.05
Jason Williams0.150,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.00-0.011174%0.1500.005100%0.02
Antoine Walker0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.010.001065%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.15-0.000.071090%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.02762%0.091-0.017100%0.03
James Posey0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.02667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00557%0.0300.004100%0.02
Earl Barron0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.021-0.024100%0.00
Dorell Wright-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.01-0.02250%0.024-0.07250%-0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.02-0.00867%0.142-0.041164%-0.00
Deron Williams0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.09-0.000.031266%0.081-0.02580%0.01
Mehmet Okur0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.000.01769%0.081-0.03250%-0.01
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.010.061957%0.074-0.061369%-0.01
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04125%0.001-0.00250%0.00
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02262%0.011-0.02475%-0.01
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00050%0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.01450%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.04461%0.012-0.041090%0.02
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.0330%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.000.03440%-0.0400.0020%-0.02
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.00378%0.034-0.10367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.52.534.315.734.12.536.5154.1
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +21.9%
MIA +17.0%
UTA -6.5%
MIA +23.4%
UTA -5.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAUTANBAMIAUTANBA
this game15.114.615.4122.7113.4104.5
season16.015.9102.4107.4
opponent15.015.6104.9104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.615.813.616.515.1
UTA14.814.914.614.014.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams72720.60-0.100.69-0.1425-164115.314.50.8014.215.6-1.38
Alonzo Mourning49500.51-0.010.52-0.1723-143715.414.80.5514.614.60.05
Udonis Haslem66690.450.050.400.0713-41714.715.9-1.2114.614.6-0.09
Jason Kapono73750.390.110.280.2163315.115.3-0.2414.913.41.51
Dwyane Wade77800.370.130.230.0710-11114.617.0-2.3815.112.12.98
Antoine Walker44420.130.37-0.230.1118-716.214.22.0414.414.7-0.39
James Posey43400.080.42-0.330.0809-916.114.31.8014.714.50.21
Dorell Wright28260.070.43-0.350.25-615-2114.815.2-0.4614.014.8-0.74
Earl Barron430.000.50-0.500.15-514-1915.515.10.406.314.8-8.51
Chris Quinn440.000.50-0.500.21-716-2315.515.10.409.514.8-5.30
Michael Doleac2524-0.100.60-0.700.34-1524-3913.215.8-2.5215.514.31.23

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dee Brown56-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-16238.814.9-6.0917.215.02.19
Ronnie Brewer2727-0.02-0.480.45-0.299-182714.714.50.1815.215.10.10
Jarron Collins1515-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-7516.714.22.5512.515.6-3.13
Paul Millsap3235-0.09-0.410.32-0.214-131714.414.6-0.2115.415.00.45
Rafael Araujo2725-0.13-0.370.25-0.275-141913.515.0-1.4715.115.1-0.05
Matt Harpring6160-0.15-0.350.19-0.243-121514.714.30.3915.215.00.23
Gordan Giricek2324-0.21-0.290.08-0.00-7-2-514.314.7-0.3614.015.5-1.48
Derek Fisher3537-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.00-90-914.314.7-0.4114.915.2-0.36
Mehmet Okur3940-0.32-0.18-0.130.06-134-1714.614.50.1115.914.51.38
Andrei Kirilenko6665-0.41-0.09-0.320.00-145-1915.113.51.5115.115.2-0.06
Carlos Boozer8179-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.07-123-1514.614.7-0.1315.115.2-0.13
Deron Williams7472-0.44-0.06-0.380.03-167-2314.614.60.0215.314.40.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 106, LAL 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,096.0%
LAC 113, WAS 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
BOS 112, MIA 1070.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,095.8%