NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	4.1 [970]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +13.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	1.0 [807]		LVP	Kwame Brown (LAL): -13.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	14	62%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	12	81%	0.14	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	13	73%	0.12	6	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	13	52%	0.07	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Brian Skinner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	15	41%	-0.03	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	0.01	0.09	22	58%	0.03	2	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.06	12	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	20	41%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	6	25%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	-0.00	-0.03	8	40%	-0.01	7	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.8	33.4	19.7	30.3	3.3	30.3	147.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.9%

PHX +0.8%

LAL -9.9%

PHX +4.3%

LAL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.7	15.4	102.9	95.1	105.7
season	13.8	14.6		111.1	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.6		104.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.5	12.6	13.3	15.9	13.3
LAL	15.2	15.5	14.3	13.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	90	89	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-10	28	13.5	11.9	1.58	14.8	13.6	1.18
Steve Nash	77	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-6	20	13.8	11.8	2.05	14.5	15.1	-0.61
Raja Bell	93	93	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	-1	10	13.0	15.9	-2.88	14.4	17.3	-2.92
Shawn Marion	84	85	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	-4	16	13.4	12.9	0.50	14.6	14.9	-0.28
Amar'e Stoudemire	61	61	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	5	-2	12.5	14.4	-1.90	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Leandro Barbosa	65	63	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.42	-10	18	-28	13.1	13.6	-0.48	15.3	13.7	1.61
Brian Skinner	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	14	-20	13.7	13.0	0.77	15.0	14.4	0.56

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	30	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.30	9	-17	26	12.9	15.4	-2.44	15.2	12.4	2.78
Trevor Ariza	37	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-9	10	16.8	13.4	3.40	12.4	13.8	-1.44
Javaris Crittenton	5	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-1	-6	22.6	14.3	8.34	6.7	13.7	-7.04
Ronny Turiaf	54	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-12	16	15.3	13.9	1.38	12.9	13.7	-0.84
Jordan Farmar	48	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-11	14	15.1	14.3	0.79	12.7	13.8	-1.10
Luke Walton	48	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	3	-14	14.2	15.0	-0.81	13.4	13.2	0.18
Derek Fisher	55	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	3	-14	14.3	15.1	-0.79	13.8	12.7	1.10
Kobe Bryant	86	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	0	-8	14.1	17.5	-3.37	13.4	12.8	0.57
Lamar Odom	96	97	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.31	-3	-5	2	14.3	20.1	-5.88	13.5	10.3	3.15
Kwame Brown	56	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	9	-26	14.7	14.6	0.12	13.4	13.2	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 118, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
HOU 123, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	96.1%
MIA 119, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%