NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	118		Excitement	3.4 [1077]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +11.9%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	1.0 [1071]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -11.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	23	67%	0.14	2	-0.02	9	33%	-0.06
Elden Campbell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mario Bennett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.00	0.08	10	80%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	57%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Jon Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.06	9	74%	0.02	3	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	19	66%	0.14	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bubba Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	58%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	75%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	57%	-0.01	4	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	12	23%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	11	33%	-0.06	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.6	27.2	16.8	29.1	2.5	27.5	127.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.0%

LAL +2.1%

LAL +2.5%

LAL +8.2%

LAL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.4	15.6	115.7	97.0	102.5
season	14.8	15.8		110.0	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.6		104.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	13.3	13.6	15.4	14.2
DAL	14.2	16.1	14.1	13.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	89	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.20	26	-4	30	14.0	15.8	-1.76	14.9	10.9	3.99
Eddie Jones	91	89	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.16	24	-2	26	14.2	14.8	-0.65	15.0	9.4	5.59
Shaquille O'Neal	78	76	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.33	30	-8	38	13.7	16.1	-2.47	15.0	12.6	2.42
Nick Van Exel	35	36	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	8	6	14.1	14.3	-0.23	14.3	14.5	-0.14
Rick Fox	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	9	4	14.8	13.1	1.72	14.3	14.7	-0.46
Derek Fisher	61	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.23	14	8	6	14.0	14.5	-0.46	14.0	15.0	-1.00
Elden Campbell	53	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	25	-28	14.5	13.9	0.57	14.7	14.2	0.45
Sean Rooks	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	15.0	14.2	0.82	9.3	14.8	-5.53
Mario Bennett	11	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	24	-26	14.8	14.2	0.65	9.4	15.0	-5.59
Jon Barry	17	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.17	-8	30	-38	15.6	14.0	1.62	13.0	14.7	-1.70

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	8	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-24	26	12.7	14.6	-1.82	16.9	13.9	3.00
Kurt Thomas	34	37	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.45	16	-38	54	13.4	15.0	-1.54	15.4	13.6	1.79
Chris Anstey	1	2	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-22	22	28.0	14.3	13.71	5.0	14.4	-9.42
Bubba Wells	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-23	24	8.3	14.8	-6.48	15.5	14.2	1.34
Erick Strickland	44	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-17	12	14.0	14.8	-0.85	14.0	14.4	-0.45
Samaki Walker	33	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.32	-16	-6	-10	12.6	15.3	-2.68	13.5	14.6	-1.10
Hubert Davis	46	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-17	12	16.5	12.6	3.84	14.4	14.1	0.28
Dennis Scott	70	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-13	4	14.4	14.6	-0.18	14.2	14.3	-0.15
Shawn Bradley	47	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.11	-18	-4	-14	15.3	13.7	1.62	14.8	13.7	1.09
Khalid Reeves	47	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.13	-19	-3	-16	15.1	13.8	1.38	13.9	14.6	-0.71
A.C. Green	83	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	4	-30	14.9	11.9	2.97	13.9	15.6	-1.72
Michael Finley	76	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.40	-31	9	-40	13.7	16.8	-3.07	14.1	14.7	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 123, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	97.0%
MIL 98, OKC 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.9%
LAC 94, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.02,0,0	96.8%