NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	90		Excitement	6.5 [556]		MVP	Justin Holiday (MEM): +15.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	99		Comeback	3.0 [548]		LVP	E'Twaun Moore (NOP): -15.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenrich Williams	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cheick Diallo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	80%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Darius Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	13	57%	0.11	4	-0.12	11	64%	-0.04
Jrue Holiday	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	14	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	3	62%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ian Clark	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	12	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	10	75%	0.21	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.00	9	72%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	14	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	13	45%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	7	59%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	41%	-0.06	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	10	40%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	1.8	25.2	14.5	26.5	1.7	31.3	131.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +36.0%

MEM +3.2%

NOP -12.8%

MEM +20.9%

MEM +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MEM	NBA	NOP	MEM	NBA
this game	14.6	15.6	14.3	96.8	102.1	109.3
season	13.4	15.4		110.2	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.2		107.4	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.2	17.4	15.3	12.8	14.6
MEM	17.2	14.7	13.5	17.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Jackson	49	53	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.18	11	-20	31	13.4	16.0	-2.53	17.2	13.7	3.52
Jrue Holiday	56	61	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-16	23	14.1	15.4	-1.31	16.6	14.1	2.49
Darius Miller	39	41	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-15	21	13.4	15.6	-2.22	16.4	15.1	1.37
Ian Clark	11	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-9	9	16.1	14.5	1.64	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Anthony Davis	62	68	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-11	13	14.7	14.5	0.15	16.1	14.7	1.37
Stanley Johnson	16	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.10	-10	1	-11	15.7	14.4	1.26	13.4	16.1	-2.71
Kenrich Williams	71	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-8	7	14.3	15.7	-1.36	15.9	14.9	0.96
Cheick Diallo	27	26	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	2	-13	14.9	14.6	0.29	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Tim Frazier	42	42	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	5	-19	15.0	14.4	0.65	14.6	16.4	-1.78
E'Twaun Moore	32	33	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.01	-17	8	-25	15.7	14.1	1.54	13.5	16.8	-3.33
Julius Randle	60	59	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.16	-18	9	-27	15.8	12.5	3.40	15.2	16.4	-1.18

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	59	60	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-1	11	15.3	16.2	-0.88	15.4	13.3	2.03
Delon Wright	46	47	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-6	21	14.3	16.8	-2.48	15.6	13.7	1.84
Mike Conley	65	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	6	-3	16.3	14.4	1.90	14.1	15.6	-1.45
CJ Miles	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-2	13	14.6	16.5	-1.88	14.5	14.8	-0.26
Jaren Jackson Jr.	55	52	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	4	1	16.1	15.1	1.02	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Ivan Rabb	59	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	3	3	15.4	16.1	-0.75	14.4	15.0	-0.55
Justin Holiday	63	59	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	11	-13	16.4	14.2	2.27	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Jevon Carter	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	3	3	14.4	16.3	-1.90	15.6	14.1	1.45
Avery Bradley	51	46	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	15	-21	16.8	14.3	2.48	13.7	15.6	-1.84
Bruno Caboclo	12	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	12	-15	16.3	15.6	0.78	17.8	14.1	3.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	94.2%
NJN 102, WAS 113	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
PHI 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%