NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	8.3 [261]		MVP	Danny Green (TOR): +28.8%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	2.3 [1122]		LVP	DeAndre Jordan (NYK): -25.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.17	0.00	9	78%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.28	0.16	0.13	-0.00	10	85%	0.32	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Norman Powell	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.13	-0.02	14	48%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Patrick McCaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	10	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
OG Anunoby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	44%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Pascal Siakam	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	13	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	5	42%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	-0.18	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	15	33%	-0.13	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.13	-0.00	9	79%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kadeem Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	11	54%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	21	45%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	6	58%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	17	32%	-0.12	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.15	0.02	8	45%	-0.11	4	-0.15	6	33%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.3	25.1	14.0	25.0	1.8	37.3	133.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +25.0%

TOR +29.4%

NYK -18.7%

TOR +10.4%

TOR +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	14.8	14.3	104.0	98.0	109.3
season	14.3	14.5		111.5	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.5		112.5	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.7	13.4	14.6	13.8	13.8
NYK	14.5	13.3	15.4	16.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	69	70	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-8	21	13.6	14.4	-0.84	15.2	14.0	1.17
Kyle Lowry	72	71	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	-1	7	13.9	13.7	0.13	14.6	15.3	-0.74
Danny Green	64	63	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-3	11	13.5	14.4	-0.90	14.2	15.8	-1.61
Kawhi Leonard	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.38	2	3	-1	13.9	13.7	0.24	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Serge Ibaka	63	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	13.8	14.0	-0.21	14.5	15.3	-0.72
Marc Gasol	37	39	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	2	1	14.0	13.8	0.21	15.3	14.5	0.72
Norman Powell	29	32	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	4	-3	14.1	13.7	0.32	15.7	14.4	1.28
Patrick McCaw	26	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	8	-11	14.3	13.7	0.58	14.8	14.8	-0.01
OG Anunoby	31	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	5	-5	13.7	13.9	-0.24	15.6	14.5	1.10
Fred VanVleet	40	42	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	12	-19	14.3	13.5	0.77	14.9	14.7	0.16

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Robinson	43	43	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.07	5	-10	15	15.5	14.3	1.18	15.1	12.9	2.16
Allonzo Trier	48	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-3	1	15.7	14.0	1.71	14.6	13.2	1.42
Kadeem Allen	55	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-10	15	15.4	14.1	1.33	14.4	13.2	1.16
Noah Vonleh	52	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-7	9	15.0	14.6	0.47	14.8	12.9	1.84
Damyean Dotson	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-3	1	13.8	15.6	-1.82	13.7	14.0	-0.29
Mario Hezonja	54	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	2	-9	14.2	15.5	-1.31	13.2	14.7	-1.54
Dennis Smith Jr.	67	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	1	-7	14.5	15.4	-0.82	13.1	15.2	-2.09
Kevin Knox	85	83	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	5	-15	14.9	14.3	0.59	13.6	14.9	-1.33
DeAndre Jordan	58	57	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.43	-10	5	-15	14.3	15.5	-1.18	12.9	15.1	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.25,0.39,0.26,0.11,0.06,0.11,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 91, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.11,0.03,0,0	92.6%
MEM 110, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.03,0	92.0%
PHI 96, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.04,0	91.7%