NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	122		Excitement	6.9 [508]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (OKC): +18.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	132		Comeback	5.4 [331]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -19.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.16	0.02	0.05	18	63%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Khem Birch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.03	0.05	16	66%	0.11	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Briscoe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	18	47%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	11	58%	0.08	8	-0.20	9	56%	-0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	15	65%	0.22	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	9	76%	0.14	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.01	26	57%	0.18	5	-0.08	16	94%	0.04
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	12	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	5	85%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deonte Burton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.05	-0.02	14	42%	-0.06	7	-0.14	10	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	29.3	15.2	24.5	2.5	41.4	141.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +41.3%

ORL -12.5%

OKC +9.7%

OKC +10.5%

OKC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	OKC	NBA	ORL	OKC	NBA
this game	14.2	11.2	14.3	108.0	115.8	109.3
season	14.9	12.9		107.2	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.3		106.4	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.3	12.8	16.0	12.9	14.2
OKC	12.0	12.0	10.7	10.3	11.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khem Birch	32	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-16	22	13.0	14.6	-1.59	12.7	10.6	2.08
Terrence Ross	64	65	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-15	20	13.0	15.7	-2.69	11.1	11.4	-0.26
D.J. Augustin	76	76	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-8	6	13.9	14.7	-0.79	11.1	11.5	-0.42
Evan Fournier	81	80	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.22	2	-12	14	14.0	14.6	-0.59	11.8	9.8	1.99
Jonathan Isaac	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	0	-10	14.9	13.0	1.94	10.6	12.1	-1.45
Wes Iwundu	43	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	1	-12	14.9	13.7	1.16	10.2	11.9	-1.65
Isaiah Briscoe	37	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	14.7	13.9	0.79	11.5	11.1	0.42
Nikola Vucevic	81	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.02	-16	6	-22	14.6	13.0	1.59	10.6	12.7	-2.08
Aaron Gordon	83	85	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.21	-16	6	-22	14.2	14.0	0.23	11.7	9.7	2.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	82	81	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.09	18	-8	26	10.7	12.7	-2.00	14.6	13.0	1.67
Paul George	87	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-4	18	11.5	10.4	1.06	13.8	15.3	-1.49
Steven Adams	85	84	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-6	22	10.7	12.8	-2.16	15.0	11.9	3.10
Dennis Schroder	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	6	-2	11.0	11.4	-0.49	14.1	14.2	-0.07
Russell Westbrook	86	86	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	1	8	10.8	12.5	-1.70	14.3	13.7	0.56
Terrance Ferguson	66	67	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	5	0	11.8	10.5	1.31	15.4	12.4	3.00
Abdel Nader	42	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	7	-4	10.6	11.6	-0.91	13.0	14.8	-1.81
Nerlens Noel	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	16	-22	12.8	10.7	2.16	11.9	15.0	-3.10
Deonte Burton	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	15	-20	13.4	11.1	2.35	12.3	14.3	-2.01
Patrick Patterson	32	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.11	-8	18	-26	12.7	10.7	2.00	13.0	14.6	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 78, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1	93.4%
POR 89, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.29,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%
MIL 82, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.89,1,1,1	92.6%