NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	124		Excitement	9.2 [158]		MVP	Rudy Gay (SAS): +37.8%
San Antonio Spurs	126		Comeback	1.4 [1149]		LVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHX): -8.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.14	0.00	12	79%	0.32	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.26	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.11	-0.01	9	89%	0.27	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Jackson	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.23	-0.01	0.23	-0.00	14	50%	0.28	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19	0.21	-0.00	0.02	19	84%	0.40	6	-0.21	7	100%	0.04
Richaun Holmes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	-0.04	6	62%	0.09	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Troy Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanuel Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	4	62%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	14	45%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.38	0.38	-0.02	0.39	-0.01	17	44%	0.51	1	-0.13	2	100%	0.05
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.08	0.01	15	72%	0.31	2	-0.08	10	90%	0.04
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.15	-0.00	11	55%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.12	0.03	14	62%	0.23	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	14	59%	0.17	3	-0.19	1	100%	0.01
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	15	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	31.3	14.6	27.3	1.7	32.1	133.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -7.9%

SAS +20.8%

SAS +30.9%

SAS +2.4%

SAS +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	12.9	15.2	14.3	121.6	122.3	109.3
season	14.4	14.8		104.8	111.7
opponent	14.4	14.0		110.4	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	13.7	12.7	11.5	12.9
SAS	14.0	12.5	16.6	18.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Bender	7	8	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-7	12	13.9	12.9	1.00	11.5	15.5	-3.97
Troy Daniels	13	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-2	2	14.5	12.7	1.85	14.2	15.3	-1.16
Emanuel Terry	24	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	0	-2	12.8	12.9	-0.12	14.2	15.4	-1.19
Jamal Crawford	65	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.39	7	-9	16	12.3	13.9	-1.61	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Richaun Holmes	62	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	4	-10	13.3	12.4	0.86	16.0	13.8	2.15
Mikal Bridges	75	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-4	6	13.0	12.8	0.15	15.1	15.2	-0.08
Devin Booker	86	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-2	2	12.8	13.8	-1.06	15.3	14.6	0.74
Elie Okobo	40	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	8	-18	13.9	12.3	1.61	16.1	14.5	1.61
Kelly Oubre Jr.	66	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	0	-2	12.6	13.5	-0.89	15.6	14.4	1.11
Josh Jackson	72	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	2	-6	12.7	13.4	-0.72	14.6	16.6	-1.98

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	66	68	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.49	6	-4	10	15.9	13.9	1.94	12.9	13.0	-0.12
Davis Bertans	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	-2	6	15.7	13.8	1.89	13.1	12.3	0.88
Patty Mills	61	59	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-7	16	14.0	16.8	-2.78	12.5	13.5	-0.98
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	3	-4	15.8	13.3	2.54	12.8	13.4	-0.63
Derrick White	61	61	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	-5	12	15.8	14.2	1.61	13.9	11.5	2.36
Jakob Poeltl	18	18	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	-6	14	14.1	15.4	-1.34	13.2	12.9	0.37
Marco Belinelli	60	58	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	-1	4	14.6	16.0	-1.39	12.1	14.0	-1.82
Lonnie Walker IV	10	9	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	-1	4	11.2	15.6	-4.39	12.4	13.0	-0.52
Quincy Pondexter	2	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	4	-6	22.5	15.0	7.48	9.0	13.0	-4.00
Dante Cunningham	11	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	5	-8	12.2	15.5	-3.34	14.1	12.8	1.31
Pau Gasol	8	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	7	-12	11.5	15.5	-3.97	13.9	12.9	1.00
Bryn Forbes	66	64	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.42	-19	21	-40	15.7	14.2	1.57	12.9	13.0	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.7,0.57,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.74,1	92.1%
OKC 97, CHA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.98,1	92.1%
CHA 86, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1	91.9%