inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 105 Excitement3.3 [1155] MVPMalik Beasley (DEN): +11.6%
Denver Nuggets 135 Comeback1.3 [1276] LVPZach LaVine (CHI): -15.1%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen0.100,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.15-0.000.051869%0.152-0.05367%-0.01
Jabari Parker0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.11-0.000.03783%0.101-0.03475%0.01
Robin Lopez0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.100.000.071077%0.061-0.02250%-0.00
Chandler Hutchison0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.070.000.06967%0.0100.0000%0.00
Cristiano Felicio0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shaquille Harrison0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio Blakeney-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.02475%-0.0220.0000%0.00
Kris Dunn-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02837%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Wayne Selden-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0140%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Bobby Portis-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.010.011336%-0.061-0.03250%-0.01
Zach LaVine-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.010.011527%-0.102-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.010.00787%0.1210.001100%-0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.024100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.11-0.000.06787%0.071-0.011100%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.000.08687%0.031-0.00450%-0.02
Jamal Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.180.010.151674%0.051-0.022100%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.041164%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.01743%0.0200.0000%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.08590%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Goodwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.00475%0.00
Tyler Lydon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0640%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.041843%0.032-0.046100%0.03
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.040.000.061055%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.426.312.726.62.323.4118.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +26.7%
DEN +5.9%
DEN +3.9%
DEN +13.2%
DEN +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDENNBACHIDENNBA
this game16.114.314.3110.5142.1109.3
season14.614.8104.2112.0
opponent14.614.3108.1112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI17.314.518.114.516.1
DEN13.314.314.015.514.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cristiano Felicio12120.00-0.500.500.000-303012.816.5-3.6814.814.20.65
Shaquille Harrison12120.00-0.500.500.000-303012.816.5-3.6814.814.20.65
Ryan Arcidiacono2424-0.02-0.480.450.09-4-262216.515.90.6513.314.6-1.30
Antonio Blakeney1919-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-272412.716.9-4.2114.314.20.07
Robin Lopez3536-0.07-0.430.370.05-4-262216.815.61.2315.013.81.14
Jabari Parker3434-0.17-0.330.160.12-10-201016.515.80.6515.413.61.79
Wayne Selden4949-0.21-0.290.090.06-9-211216.116.00.0214.613.90.64
Chandler Hutchison6665-0.25-0.250.010.31-19-11-816.115.90.1813.915.1-1.17
Lauri Markkanen5251-0.33-0.17-0.170.28-21-9-1216.515.51.0313.415.2-1.84
Bobby Portis5757-0.43-0.07-0.370.30-25-5-2015.616.8-1.1813.815.0-1.23
Kris Dunn5959-0.48-0.02-0.450.29-26-4-2216.515.31.2014.513.80.74
Zach LaVine5657-0.49-0.01-0.480.36-29-1-2817.114.52.6114.414.10.35

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray57570.420.080.35-0.372732414.014.6-0.6116.815.01.75
Nikola Jokic50520.420.080.33-0.352642213.515.1-1.6516.715.21.50
Paul Millsap50500.410.090.32-0.382732413.914.6-0.6816.715.31.37
Malik Beasley68680.400.100.30-0.362642213.815.4-1.5516.016.1-0.13
Torrey Craig47470.330.170.17-0.342371613.714.9-1.1916.515.60.91
Gary Harris35360.140.36-0.22-0.07723-1614.714.00.6716.515.80.77
Juancho Hernangomez37370.120.38-0.26-0.03525-2015.013.81.1615.216.6-1.37
Trey Lyles43420.110.39-0.280.02327-2414.813.80.9614.817.1-2.31
Monte Morris31310.080.42-0.33-0.15822-1414.914.00.9016.415.90.50
Mason Plumlee37370.060.44-0.37-0.231020-1014.813.90.9017.215.31.86
Brandon Goodwin1090.000.50-0.500.18-636-4215.514.11.389.916.7-6.81
Tyler Lydon1090.000.50-0.500.18-636-4215.514.11.389.916.7-6.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.67,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 102, POR 1200.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
SEA 91, NJN 1260.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
NYK 71, IND 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%