NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	3.5 [1057]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +12.5%
New Jersey Nets	126		Comeback	1.4 [489]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (SEA): -19.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	-0.00	0.04	9	95%	0.13	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Desmond Mason	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brent Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	16	63%	0.12	9	-0.14	3	100%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	4	57%	-0.02	3	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Ruben Wolkowyski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	4	30%	0.00	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0.05	6	57%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	5	44%	-0.00	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	11	42%	-0.10	5	-0.09	9	56%	-0.07

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.18	0.02	0.10	26	68%	0.12	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	75%	0.07	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	72%	0.05	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.01	0.08	17	65%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	70%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	33.5	15.4	28.9	2.0	26.2	132.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +22.7%

NJN +4.3%

NJN +6.7%

NJN +16.0%

NJN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NJN	NBA	SEA	NJN	NBA
this game	14.7	13.9	15.5	90.1	124.8	100.9
season	15.2	15.5		103.8	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.0	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.0	15.4	15.0	14.3	14.7
NJN	11.8	14.6	11.7	18.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jelani McCoy	37	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.12	-3	-32	29	13.8	15.2	-1.37	16.8	12.1	4.70
Ruben Wolkowyski	37	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.13	-6	-29	23	15.4	14.2	1.10	16.4	12.4	3.97
Emanual Davis	11	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.20	-9	-26	17	16.2	14.5	1.72	10.8	14.2	-3.42
Ruben Patterson	43	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.38	-18	-17	-1	15.3	14.2	1.09	14.2	13.6	0.52
Shammond Williams	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-23	11	15.9	14.1	1.83	17.7	12.0	5.70
Brent Barry	27	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-28	21	14.9	14.6	0.27	15.8	13.1	2.71
Desmond Mason	54	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.29	-21	-14	-7	13.9	15.6	-1.68	13.3	14.5	-1.23
Rashard Lewis	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.23	-20	-15	-5	14.0	15.9	-1.85	13.6	14.4	-0.74
Gary Payton	74	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.35	-24	-11	-13	14.2	15.8	-1.53	12.4	17.9	-5.45
Vin Baker	69	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.41	-27	-8	-19	15.2	13.4	1.78	12.1	17.6	-5.46
Patrick Ewing	54	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.37	-28	-7	-21	14.5	14.8	-0.29	12.2	15.8	-3.57

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Eschmeyer	62	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.43	30	5	25	12.2	16.6	-4.40	15.1	13.9	1.22
Johnny Newman	37	38	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	15	5	15.5	12.9	2.56	15.1	14.4	0.77
Kenyon Martin	49	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.33	23	12	11	13.0	14.7	-1.67	15.7	13.7	1.97
Kendall Gill	68	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.35	23	12	11	12.0	17.7	-5.70	14.1	15.9	-1.83
Stephon Marbury	66	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.38	24	11	13	12.0	17.3	-5.28	14.2	15.6	-1.41
Stephen Jackson	58	59	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.31	18	17	1	12.1	16.2	-4.05	14.2	15.3	-1.16
Sherman Douglas	35	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.14	11	24	-13	17.3	12.0	5.28	15.6	14.2	1.41
Lucious Harris	33	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.17	12	23	-11	17.7	12.0	5.70	15.9	14.1	1.83
Soumaila Samake	18	17	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	29	-23	17.4	13.1	4.29	13.1	15.0	-1.92
Aaron Williams	38	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.23	10	25	-15	14.7	13.3	1.40	14.6	14.7	-0.16
Kevin Ollie	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	35	-35	17.9	13.4	4.54	14.0	14.7	-0.73
Jim McIlvaine	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	37	-39	15.4	13.2	2.19	13.6	15.1	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, DEN 135	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.67,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
UTA 83, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
PHX 102, POR 120	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%