inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 86 Excitement2.6 [1240] MVPBrook Lopez (MIL): +10.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 124 Comeback1.4 [1134] LVPJosh Richardson (MIA): -9.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside0.060,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.10-0.000.041076%0.082-0.01560%0.00
Tyler Johnson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.02-0.03844%0.0500.0000%0.00
Justise Winslow0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.031563%0.043-0.0300%0.00
Wayne Ellington0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.090.000.09590%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05564%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01764%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
James Johnson-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.100.00-0.07714%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Rodney McGruder-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.06825%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Dion Waiters-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.00-0.06425%-0.013-0.0200%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.12-0.01-0.03614%-0.042-0.052100%0.00
Josh Richardson-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.000.011127%-0.071-0.0200%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brook Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.00-0.01779%0.1100.0000%0.00
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.024100%0.0900.002100%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.01-0.04558%0.061-0.002100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.02383%0.0300.0000%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.010.051357%0.0200.00250%0.00
Sterling Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.051065%0.0210.0000%0.00
Eric Bledsoe0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.000.041553%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01764%0.0020.0000%0.00
Thon Maker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
D.J. Wilson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.02850%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Khris Middleton0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.001146%-0.011-0.00250%-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.020.000.03946%-0.032-0.02850%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.30.325.315.524.72.423.3114.8
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +26.7%
MIL +0.1%
MIL +5.1%
MIL +17.3%
MIL +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMILNBAMIAMILNBA
this game14.912.714.382.7118.1109.3
season14.813.5106.3112.4
opponent14.314.3104.0106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.416.713.616.114.9
MIL12.810.013.614.612.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wayne Ellington15150.00-0.500.500.18-6-322616.514.61.8414.312.41.93
James Johnson4747-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-373614.015.6-1.5513.012.40.62
Dion Waiters2625-0.08-0.420.340.21-10-281816.114.51.6312.612.7-0.15
Rodney McGruder3939-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-343014.315.2-0.9412.512.8-0.26
Hassan Whiteside5758-0.14-0.360.210.03-6-322614.415.5-1.1613.112.11.03
Justise Winslow6364-0.23-0.270.040.30-18-20214.215.9-1.7012.712.70.03
Josh Richardson5455-0.27-0.23-0.040.11-13-251215.114.60.5312.512.9-0.43
Derrick Jones Jr.3537-0.28-0.22-0.060.37-22-16-616.414.12.2313.512.21.29
Kelly Olynyk3130-0.28-0.22-0.060.37-22-16-614.515.0-0.4911.613.1-1.55
Dwyane Wade4950-0.29-0.21-0.080.38-23-15-814.415.4-1.0012.512.8-0.26
Bam Adebayo5051-0.36-0.14-0.220.58-32-6-2615.414.41.0112.313.0-0.74
Tyler Johnson5454-0.38-0.12-0.260.59-33-5-2815.414.40.9512.313.1-0.74

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Khris Middleton58590.410.090.33-0.141919012.013.6-1.5915.114.70.36
Tony Snell46450.360.140.21-0.4427111611.513.6-2.0915.514.41.09
Malcolm Brogdon55530.330.170.17-0.252018212.013.5-1.5014.115.7-1.59
Giannis Antetokounmpo58580.310.190.13-0.3924141012.013.5-1.5514.715.1-0.35
Brook Lopez54540.280.220.05-0.131424-1012.612.8-0.2515.114.60.53
Ersan Ilyasova32310.220.28-0.05-0.301820-211.613.1-1.5113.715.4-1.73
D.J. Wilson37350.190.31-0.130.01632-2613.612.21.3814.415.1-0.70
George Hill37370.180.32-0.14-0.261523-813.012.50.4613.915.4-1.51
Eric Bledsoe50500.150.35-0.20-0.09830-2213.212.20.9614.215.5-1.30
Sterling Brown44440.070.43-0.36-0.461820-213.911.82.1215.714.31.44
Pat Connaughton21200.000.50-0.50-0.26929-2014.312.32.0116.814.42.42
Jason Smith15150.000.50-0.50-0.18632-2614.312.41.9316.514.61.84
Thon Maker18190.000.50-0.50-0.18632-2614.512.32.2016.214.61.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 84, DET 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
DET 89, SEA 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
DEN 72, IND 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%