inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 72 Excitement2.4 [1227] MVPAustin Croshere (IND): +9.4%
Indiana Pacers 94 Comeback1.5 [1234] LVPNene (DEN): -12.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Bowen0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02470%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Kenny Satterfield0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02367%0.0020.0000%0.00
Rodney White-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.04967%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Chris Whitney-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.060.000.07774%0.011-0.02580%-0.01
Junior Harrington-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.05425%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.11-0.00-0.08825%-0.0310.00475%-0.00
Vincent Yarbrough-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01625%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011338%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Mark Blount-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0210%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
James Posey-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.05829%-0.042-0.011100%0.00
Donnell Harvey-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.150.00-0.0940%-0.024-0.0300%0.00
Nene-0.130,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.17-0.00-0.051036%-0.084-0.05850%-0.02

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.130.000.047106%0.112-0.022100%0.00
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.031361%0.0720.005100%0.02
Metta World Peace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.02767%0.032-0.031100%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.090.00-0.09340%-0.003-0.00450%-0.00
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.05733%-0.0010.001100%0.00
Al Harrington0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00952%-0.001-0.003100%-0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01167%0.001-0.014100%0.01
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01340%-0.0200.00450%-0.03
Jonathan Bender0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.05436%-0.0310.00650%-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.09-0.01-0.05944%0.002-0.05989%0.01
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.13-0.00-0.06523%-0.043-0.03333%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.732.815.627.42.428.6135.8
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +30.1%
IND +10.2%
IND +1.9%
IND +8.3%
DEN -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENINDNBADENINDNBA
this game15.814.415.575.098.9101.6
season15.715.490.4102.2
opponent15.515.399.299.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN17.317.315.613.015.8
IND13.214.013.816.314.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Bowen24220.02-0.520.55-0.042-242616.815.41.3513.314.7-1.37
Kenny Satterfield11110.00-0.500.500.000-222210.816.4-5.6119.313.75.55
Mark Blount1110-0.11-0.390.280.09-7-15818.515.43.1216.814.12.72
Vincent Yarbrough3941-0.15-0.350.200.06-7-15814.516.7-2.1815.013.91.15
Rodney White3434-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-181415.515.9-0.3915.114.01.12
Junior Harrington4141-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-13414.616.7-2.0415.813.32.44
Juwan Howard6057-0.25-0.25-0.000.16-14-8-616.714.22.5813.216.1-2.85
Chris Whitney5554-0.26-0.24-0.030.12-13-9-416.714.62.0413.315.8-2.44
Nikoloz Tskitishvili5556-0.31-0.19-0.120.01-11-11014.917.0-2.1715.412.92.45
James Posey5150-0.32-0.18-0.150.20-18-4-1417.014.42.6412.816.1-3.31
Donnell Harvey3737-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-11-11015.615.9-0.3513.514.9-1.44
Nene6262-0.37-0.13-0.230.16-18-4-1415.715.9-0.1614.614.00.61

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ron Mercer59570.50-0.000.50-0.1723-12415.013.31.7615.715.9-0.15
Jeff Foster61590.480.020.47-0.1923-12414.713.71.0316.215.11.05
Austin Croshere37360.390.110.28-0.262202214.314.4-0.1215.815.70.08
Metta World Peace57590.350.150.21-0.171841413.515.7-2.1916.514.61.84
Jonathan Bender52510.330.170.17-0.05139415.213.31.9514.816.8-2.00
Al Harrington43450.180.32-0.13-0.02715-813.415.2-1.7816.115.50.58
Jermaine O'Neal49500.170.33-0.17-0.04715-813.415.3-1.9017.014.52.46
Jamaal Tinsley44480.050.45-0.39-0.01220-1813.615.1-1.4916.614.91.69
Erick Strickland32320.020.48-0.470.05-123-2415.913.62.3213.816.8-3.00
Reggie Miller24260.010.49-0.470.07-224-2613.714.6-0.8816.815.41.35
Primoz Brezec17170.000.50-0.490.06-224-2616.413.92.4210.416.9-6.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 70, NJN 1140.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
MIA 86, MIL 1240.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
GSW 92, DEN 1080.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%