NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	92		Excitement	2.6 [1179]		MVP	George McCloud (DEN): +7.1%
Denver Nuggets	108		Comeback	1.4 [1086]		LVP	Robert Pack (DEN): -8.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	12	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.01
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	11	58%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Chris Porter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	11	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul McPherson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Garner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	5	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	26	48%	-0.04	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.01	0.08	17	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	13	41%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Dan McClintock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	15	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	9	50%	-0.01	6	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.7	27.0	15.4	22.9	1.8	27.0	117.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +37.9%

DEN +1.7%

DEN +12.4%

GSW -1.5%

GSW -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DEN	NBA	GSW	DEN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	15.5	101.1	118.7	100.9
season	15.0	15.2		95.3	101.4
opponent	15.2	14.9		104.1	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.3	18.1	16.1	14.8	16.1
DEN	13.5	13.2	15.2	21.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Garner	41	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-18	20	17.3	15.1	2.18	18.8	12.6	6.14
Adonal Foyle	71	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-9	2	14.6	21.5	-6.96	15.1	17.2	-2.14
Paul McPherson	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-14	12	16.7	15.8	0.87	19.7	13.3	6.46
Antawn Jamison	83	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-11	6	15.5	22.5	-6.99	15.2	18.8	-3.61
Chris Porter	44	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.22	-16	0	-16	14.8	17.4	-2.61	12.7	18.2	-5.55
Adam Keefe	22	23	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-8	0	20.2	14.8	5.42	16.5	15.2	1.27
Erick Dampier	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	-3	-10	16.9	15.2	1.68	15.0	16.1	-1.14
Vonteego Cummings	51	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.26	-19	3	-22	15.2	17.3	-2.10	12.7	18.9	-6.18
Corie Blount	63	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	-4	-8	17.2	13.6	3.63	16.5	13.5	3.00

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Voshon Lenard	53	53	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	6	4	16.4	14.3	2.17	16.8	15.2	1.61
Ryan Bowen	47	45	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	3	10	16.3	14.7	1.55	17.0	15.2	1.78
George McCloud	65	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	6	4	16.1	14.0	2.14	16.5	15.1	1.44
Raef LaFrentz	66	67	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.24	18	-2	20	14.0	19.6	-5.67	15.9	16.7	-0.80
Anthony Goldwire	13	11	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	1	14	18.9	15.0	3.96	20.8	15.5	5.34
Kevin Willis	63	64	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	12	-8	16.3	13.9	2.41	16.1	16.3	-0.20
Robert Pack	78	80	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	15	-14	15.0	18.9	-3.96	15.5	20.8	-5.34
James Posey	65	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.10	8	8	0	14.3	18.5	-4.16	15.0	18.8	-3.76
Dan McClintock	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	17.6	15.4	2.19	12.5	16.3	-3.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, POR 125	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DAL 91, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DEN 72, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%