NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	121		Excitement	7.4 [409]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +35.8%
LA Clippers	117		Comeback	1.9 [433]		LVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (LAC): -10.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.36	0.19	0.16	-0.00	34	57%	0.39	1	-0.04	12	100%	0.09
Darius Miller	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03	-0.09	0.07	-0.04	24	37%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.01	19	57%	0.13	3	-0.11	9	78%	-0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jahlil Okafor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.11	-0.00	13	86%	0.37	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.02	16	63%	0.17	3	-0.04	9	67%	-0.04
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.18	-0.05	0.04	11	84%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	54%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	19	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	31.4	14.7	27.3	2.3	37.6	139.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +1.4%

NOP +4.3%

NOP +24.7%

NOP +15.0%

NOP +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	LAC	NBA	NOP	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	13.1	14.3	114.2	110.4	109.3
season	13.4	13.9		110.2	111.3
opponent	14.1	14.2		110.7	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.7	13.8	13.0	15.8	14.1
LAC	12.5	12.9	14.1	13.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	87	88	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.14	24	-20	44	13.3	17.4	-4.02	13.5	11.2	2.33
E'Twaun Moore	61	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-3	10	14.9	13.0	1.89	14.1	11.8	2.22
Julius Randle	71	74	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	-17	38	13.6	15.0	-1.39	14.0	11.0	2.97
Anthony Davis	84	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	3	-2	14.4	12.8	1.63	13.2	12.9	0.30
Elfrid Payton	65	65	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	-3	10	13.9	14.4	-0.49	13.3	12.8	0.49
Nikola Mirotic	42	40	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.36	-9	13	-22	13.9	14.2	-0.35	11.4	14.2	-2.78
Jahlil Okafor	21	21	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	5	-6	14.5	14.0	0.57	13.3	13.1	0.23
Darius Miller	66	64	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.52	-20	24	-44	14.7	13.0	1.67	11.8	15.0	-3.22
Frank Jackson	33	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	14	-24	13.7	14.2	-0.54	12.2	13.5	-1.28

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	58	58	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.19	16	-20	36	11.7	14.7	-3.01	13.4	14.9	-1.52
Montrezl Harrell	74	74	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.43	15	-19	34	12.0	15.6	-3.52	14.6	12.9	1.66
Tyrone Wallace	45	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-9	14	13.0	13.2	-0.18	13.8	14.2	-0.39
Mike Scott	12	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.09	-6	2	-8	12.2	13.2	-1.06	10.9	14.6	-3.70
Lou Williams	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.35	2	-6	8	11.9	15.4	-3.49	14.4	13.6	0.80
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	28	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	9	-22	15.8	12.1	3.69	12.8	14.5	-1.68
Danilo Gallinari	72	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	2	-8	13.7	11.8	1.93	14.7	12.8	1.93
Tobias Harris	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-3	2	12.9	13.7	-0.83	14.4	13.2	1.11
Marcin Gortat	32	32	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.05	-19	15	-34	15.6	12.0	3.52	12.9	14.6	-1.66
Avery Bradley	62	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.22	-13	9	-22	14.3	11.4	2.94	14.7	13.1	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.19,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.03,0.08,0	92.2%
LAL 102, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0	92.2%
NOH 92, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.17,0	91.8%