NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	102		Excitement	2.8 [1217]		MVP	Iman Shumpert (SAC): +6.6%
Sacramento Kings	112		Comeback	1.0 [1081]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -10.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stanley Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	10	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	0.00	0.10	9	68%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	55%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Jon Leuer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	75%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	11	62%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Khyri Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.06	6	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	8	28%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	11	27%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	0.00	0.01	9	57%	-0.00	7	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	13	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	85%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.10	10	33%	0.05	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	60%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Harry Giles III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	9	64%	0.04	5	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	83%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Ben McLemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	54%	0.04	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	30.6	14.5	23.6	2.5	33.5	130.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +33.6%

DET -1.8%

SAC +15.4%

SAC +3.3%

DET -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	SAC	NBA	DET	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	12.5	14.3	101.0	108.7	109.3
season	15.3	13.3		107.5	109.2
opponent	14.3	14.0		110.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.2	14.8	14.5	14.8	15.8
SAC	9.6	13.5	13.2	13.4	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson III	20	22	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.24	9	-19	28	13.4	16.4	-3.01	12.8	12.4	0.46
Khyri Thomas	36	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.32	10	-20	30	14.1	16.8	-2.69	13.1	12.1	1.05
Jose Calderon	43	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-11	12	15.6	15.9	-0.32	12.8	12.2	0.65
Jon Leuer	36	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.24	6	-16	22	12.8	17.5	-4.63	13.3	12.0	1.31
Bruce Brown	44	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-11	12	15.3	16.2	-0.92	12.4	12.5	-0.10
Langston Galloway	52	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	0	-10	15.8	15.8	0.03	12.7	12.3	0.40
Luke Kennard	49	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-12	14	15.5	16.1	-0.59	12.2	12.7	-0.59
Stanley Johnson	48	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.19	-17	7	-24	16.1	15.5	0.60	12.7	12.2	0.45
Andre Drummond	65	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	6	-22	17.5	12.8	4.63	12.0	13.3	-1.31
Reggie Jackson	50	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.14	-20	10	-30	17.2	14.5	2.75	11.9	13.0	-1.12
Reggie Bullock	62	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.04	-16	6	-22	17.0	14.0	2.95	12.1	13.1	-1.00

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	60	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.05	17	-7	24	12.0	13.1	-1.17	16.3	15.0	1.30
Nemanja Bjelica	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.06	17	-7	24	11.3	13.9	-2.60	16.0	15.6	0.34
De'Aaron Fox	51	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	-7	24	11.5	13.4	-1.99	16.3	15.3	0.99
Willie Cauley-Stein	54	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.17	17	-7	24	11.6	13.4	-1.82	16.1	15.4	0.69
Iman Shumpert	49	48	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	1	8	11.0	13.8	-2.78	16.1	15.5	0.56
Harry Giles III	49	46	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.38	-7	17	-24	13.4	11.6	1.82	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Yogi Ferrell	52	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.36	-7	17	-24	13.4	11.5	1.99	15.3	16.3	-0.99
Bogdan Bogdanovic	42	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	5	0	13.4	11.8	1.52	17.0	15.0	2.03
Justin Jackson	40	39	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	6	-2	14.0	11.5	2.48	16.0	15.7	0.26
Marvin Bagley III	42	41	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	14	-18	13.5	11.7	1.76	16.1	15.6	0.52
Ben McLemore	10	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	19	-28	13.7	12.3	1.38	8.1	16.5	-8.35
Frank Mason	10	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	19	-28	13.7	12.3	1.38	8.1	16.5	-8.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 79, NJN 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
PHX 98, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1	97.6%
MIL 56, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%