NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	56		Excitement	2.3 [1276]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +9.1%
Boston Celtics	87		Comeback	1.0 [1240]		LVP	John Salmons (MIL): -11.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	9	35%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	7	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	60%	-0.02	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.14	0.00	-0.10	7	14%	-0.03	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.16	-0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.06	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	10	74%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	67%	0.06	4	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	61%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	12%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	60%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	46%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	7	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	5	20%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	25.4	15.7	25.2	2.4	29.2	124.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.5%

BOS +2.4%

BOS +9.8%

BOS +3.3%

BOS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	17.6	15.7	15.5	65.1	100.0	105.7
season	16.2	15.7		100.1	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.4		99.6	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.2	19.9	16.9	15.4	17.6
BOS	16.0	14.4	14.4	18.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Barron	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-25	19	15.1	18.2	-3.18	17.8	15.2	2.63
Chris Douglas-Roberts	32	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.28	-11	-20	9	15.5	18.8	-3.25	15.7	15.7	-0.01
Earl Boykins	39	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.26	-11	-20	9	16.2	18.7	-2.54	15.9	15.6	0.38
Corey Maggette	15	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-29	27	17.8	17.5	0.28	13.6	16.1	-2.49
Jon Brockman	32	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.27	-13	-18	5	16.5	18.2	-1.70	16.4	15.3	1.06
Keyon Dooling	52	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.33	-16	-15	-1	16.3	19.6	-3.29	15.2	16.5	-1.26
Larry Sanders	32	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-19	7	17.2	17.8	-0.56	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Andrew Bogut	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-18	5	18.6	16.5	2.14	14.4	17.1	-2.67
John Salmons	34	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-16	1	19.6	16.3	3.29	16.5	15.2	1.26
Carlos Delfino	39	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.14	-18	-13	-5	19.2	16.3	2.90	16.4	15.1	1.28
Luc Mbah a Moute	46	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	-13	-5	18.5	16.4	2.09	15.9	15.5	0.44
Brandon Jennings	47	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	-11	-9	18.7	16.2	2.54	15.6	15.9	-0.38

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	49	49	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.24	24	7	17	15.6	15.9	-0.38	18.4	16.5	1.95
Kevin Garnett	45	43	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	12	7	16.0	15.5	0.50	19.1	16.1	3.00
Ray Allen	54	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.19	22	9	13	15.3	16.5	-1.16	18.7	15.8	2.89
Paul Pierce	49	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.23	22	9	13	15.4	16.1	-0.70	19.0	15.7	3.23
Rajon Rondo	42	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	16	-1	15.5	16.0	-0.50	18.9	16.3	2.59
Carlos Arroyo	45	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.32	16	15	1	16.0	15.5	0.50	16.3	18.9	-2.59
Jeff Green	44	44	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.27	13	18	-5	15.1	16.4	-1.26	16.1	19.1	-2.94
Glen Davis	33	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.26	11	20	-9	14.4	16.6	-2.21	17.2	17.8	-0.68
Sasha Pavlovic	29	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.21	9	22	-13	16.3	15.5	0.81	15.1	18.9	-3.74
Avery Bradley	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	30	-29	19.4	15.1	4.29	16.7	17.7	-1.03
Troy Murphy	32	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.12	3	28	-25	17.2	14.9	2.25	15.3	18.9	-3.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 81, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
DET 102, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MEM 89, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%