NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	9.5 [133]		MVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): +27.6%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	20.7 [56]		LVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (SAC): -22.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.16	0.12	-0.00	10	87%	0.30	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.02	0.13	-0.01	11	64%	0.22	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.06	0.02	0.07	0.02	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.11
Nemanja Bjelica	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justin Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.06	-0.01	6	75%	0.09	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.2,0.04,0.18,0.12,-0.09	0.01	-0.13	-0.03	12	73%	0.37	8	-0.45	9	78%	0.00
Harry Giles III	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	11	32%	-0.12	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.02,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	-0.00	15	72%	0.29	2	-0.14	6	83%	0.09
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	-0.00	13	61%	0.15	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.05	0.00	11	54%	0.08	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.12	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.14	-0.14	0.04	-0.14	0.03	19	51%	-0.04	1	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	6	25%	-0.02	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	25.6	15.2	28.4	2.0	37.3	135.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -22.7%

PHX +20.2%

PHX +34.3%

PHX +22.7%

SAC -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	13.6	13.4	14.3	103.7	108.5	109.3
season	13.3	14.4		109.2	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.3		114.0	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.3	12.2	14.6	12.5	13.6
PHX	13.5	16.2	10.6	13.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	40	41	0.44	-0.94	1.37	-0.12	19	-23	42	12.3	14.4	-2.02	14.7	12.6	2.09
Kosta Koufos	26	23	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-8	12	14.4	13.4	1.01	13.9	13.3	0.62
Nemanja Bjelica	37	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	0	-4	13.0	13.9	-0.94	13.2	13.6	-0.36
Yogi Ferrell	44	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-4	4	14.5	13.0	1.46	13.9	13.1	0.80
Harry Giles III	37	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	3	-10	14.9	12.9	2.03	12.9	13.7	-0.81
Willie Cauley-Stein	69	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	1	-6	13.3	14.2	-0.92	13.3	13.6	-0.26
De'Aaron Fox	70	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	1	-6	13.4	14.1	-0.75	13.1	14.1	-1.06
Justin Jackson	75	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.45	-2	-2	0	13.7	13.4	0.26	13.5	13.3	0.21
Bogdan Bogdanovic	67	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	5	-14	13.6	13.6	-0.05	13.5	13.3	0.18
Buddy Hield	70	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	7	-18	13.7	13.5	0.12	12.9	14.4	-1.42

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre Jr.	67	67	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.66	6	-2	8	13.1	14.0	-0.91	13.8	13.3	0.55
De'Anthony Melton	71	72	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.28	18	-14	32	12.3	15.7	-3.42	13.9	13.1	0.75
Richaun Holmes	39	39	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	-10	24	13.2	13.5	-0.31	15.0	12.8	2.14
Josh Jackson	70	71	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	-3	10	13.0	14.2	-1.21	13.0	14.8	-1.75
Quincy Acy	18	19	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	7	-10	14.5	13.2	1.30	13.2	13.7	-0.49
T.J. Warren	79	80	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	-2	8	13.1	14.3	-1.12	13.6	13.5	0.13
Mikal Bridges	50	49	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	-1	6	13.7	13.2	0.45	14.1	13.2	0.86
Deandre Ayton	67	68	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.41	-10	14	-24	13.5	13.2	0.31	12.8	15.0	-2.14
Troy Daniels	34	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	10	-16	14.3	13.0	1.28	14.2	13.3	0.87
Jamal Crawford	35	35	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.13	-17	21	-38	16.1	12.1	3.97	12.8	14.0	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.47,0.37,0.15,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 93, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.42,1	90.0%
MEM 101, SEA 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.6,0.48,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.53,0.28,0.43,0.42,1	89.3%
MEM 86, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.2,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.83,0.75,0.46,0.32,0.59,1	88.7%