NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	123		Excitement	6.2 [612]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +27.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	116		Comeback	2.7 [228]		LVP	OG Anunoby (TOR): -9.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27	0.26	0.08	0.06	15	81%	0.27	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	0.22	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.09	-0.03	17	68%	0.29	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Fred VanVleet	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.07	0.02	12	75%	0.22	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.02	-0.02	16	64%	0.22	2	-0.06	15	80%	0.04
Danny Green	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	7	86%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	17%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.27	0.27	0.19	0.12	0.04	25	70%	0.43	6	-0.16	11	73%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	4	79%	0.15	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	7	79%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	13	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.01	9	61%	0.01	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	28.5	14.7	30.1	1.7	31.7	133.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +34.2%

TOR +1.0%

MIL -1.5%

TOR +14.6%

TOR +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.2	14.3	121.8	116.0	109.3
season	14.3	13.5		111.5	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.5		104.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.9	14.4	14.8	15.6	14.4
MIL	14.8	15.0	15.8	11.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	78	79	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.28	21	-14	35	14.1	15.5	-1.44	14.8	12.3	2.43
Fred VanVleet	74	73	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.28	17	-10	27	14.0	15.6	-1.57	14.6	13.2	1.41
Serge Ibaka	73	74	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.18	19	-12	31	14.3	14.7	-0.38	15.0	12.2	2.73
Pascal Siakam	82	81	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.26	16	-9	25	14.2	15.4	-1.19	14.4	13.5	0.96
Danny Green	83	84	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.19	17	-10	27	14.5	14.0	0.49	14.5	13.2	1.26
Greg Monroe	14	12	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.11	-12	19	-31	14.9	14.3	0.61	12.5	14.5	-1.99
Delon Wright	30	29	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	17	-27	15.5	14.0	1.51	12.7	14.9	-2.15
Norman Powell	33	32	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.08	-14	21	-35	14.8	14.2	0.52	13.5	14.6	-1.15
OG Anunoby	38	36	-0.51	1.01	-1.51	0.05	-19	26	-45	15.1	14.0	1.04	12.5	15.2	-2.69

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Wilson	19	18	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.08	8	-15	23	14.9	14.1	0.80	14.9	14.3	0.59
George Hill	60	61	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.15	10	-17	27	12.7	16.6	-3.87	14.7	13.9	0.80
Sterling Brown	32	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-11	15	14.8	14.0	0.83	13.5	14.8	-1.25
Ersan Ilyasova	27	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-6	5	15.5	13.8	1.74	13.7	14.7	-0.96
Malcolm Brogdon	69	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.41	7	-14	21	13.9	15.1	-1.18	15.0	12.9	2.07
Tony Snell	27	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	0	-7	14.6	14.1	0.42	15.4	14.0	1.46
Brook Lopez	48	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	8	-23	15.8	12.8	3.04	13.7	15.1	-1.34
Giannis Antetokounmpo	83	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	1	-9	13.7	17.1	-3.45	14.4	14.2	0.19
Khris Middleton	66	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.01	-18	11	-29	14.6	13.5	1.14	14.2	14.8	-0.65
Eric Bledsoe	69	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.21	-15	8	-23	14.1	14.5	-0.34	14.3	14.7	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.53,0.36,0.15,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.3,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%
SEA 93, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.05,0	92.1%
HOU 118, POR 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	91.9%