inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 110 Excitement6.5 [573] MVPMonte Morris (DEN): +12.8%
Denver Nuggets 123 Comeback1.4 [1112] LVPKemba Walker (CHA): -15.9%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Monk0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.040.08-0.011167%0.213-0.092100%0.01
Devonte' Graham0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.02-0.05950%0.0900.002100%0.01
Nicolas Batum0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.010.02692%0.111-0.0400%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0.070,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.00-0.011070%0.132-0.06367%-0.01
Willy Hernangomez0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.040.02756%0.0600.004100%0.02
Miles Bridges0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00458%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Tony Parker-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.00250%0.003-0.0800%0.00
Marvin Williams-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.030.051550%-0.023-0.08250%-0.01
Kemba Walker-0.160,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.040.041747%-0.065-0.10978%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.020.09-0.01750%0.1300.002100%0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.050.04-0.041456%0.162-0.03475%-0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.170.050.102962%0.152-0.03580%-0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.03-0.011555%0.1100.0010%-0.02
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.040.00564%0.0900.004100%0.02
Torrey Craig0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.040.04767%0.0800.00450%-0.03
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.01580%0.0700.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Brandon Goodwin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Lydon00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.0130%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.021331%-0.072-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.433.715.622.81.728.2130.8
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +8.3%
DEN +3.5%
DEN +6.7%
DEN +30.4%
DEN +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHADENNBACHADENNBA
this game14.215.014.3112.2124.2109.3
season14.614.8110.4112.0
opponent14.614.3108.1111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA12.213.316.315.214.2
DEN14.914.413.717.515.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devonte' Graham55540.01-0.510.530.07-2-11914.014.5-0.5215.115.00.03
Bismack Biyombo6162-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-10714.413.90.4414.915.3-0.45
Marvin Williams7071-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-121114.313.90.3715.514.01.45
Kemba Walker6870-0.22-0.280.06-0.04-6-7114.314.00.2814.715.9-1.16
Nicolas Batum6970-0.23-0.270.030.03-9-4-514.413.80.6214.316.8-2.43
Miles Bridges2524-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.08-6-7113.714.4-0.6917.114.42.70
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist3233-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.07-10-3-714.014.3-0.3314.215.5-1.29
Tony Parker3234-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.09-10-3-714.614.00.6414.915.1-0.20
Willy Hernangomez3332-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.04-12-1-1113.914.4-0.4815.314.90.45
Malik Monk4545-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.24-6-7114.014.3-0.2815.714.51.15

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Harris53510.66-0.160.82-0.0123-103314.415.8-1.4715.013.31.72
Paul Millsap55530.460.040.420.0514-11515.414.60.7315.113.12.04
Torrey Craig58580.370.130.240.07103715.115.00.0714.314.00.33
Monte Morris30310.360.140.210.1285315.614.80.8014.414.10.28
Jamal Murray67640.250.25-0.01-0.0294514.915.3-0.4514.313.90.43
Nikola Jokic70710.230.27-0.05-0.0185314.715.8-1.0614.513.41.03
Trey Lyles30300.180.32-0.140.0358-315.115.00.1313.314.6-1.34
Mason Plumlee42400.130.37-0.240.16-114-1514.915.2-0.2813.614.6-0.96
Malik Beasley45460.070.43-0.350.10-114-1515.514.60.8613.914.5-0.57
Brandon Goodwin120.000.50-0.500.00013-1323.015.08.044.514.4-9.90
Tyler Lydon120.000.50-0.500.00013-1323.015.08.044.514.4-9.90
Juancho Hernangomez4342-0.210.71-0.910.09-1023-3315.015.1-0.0713.414.8-1.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 80, LAL 910.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,1,1,194.5%
CLE 88, PHI 960.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,194.3%
MIN 92, NJN 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,194.1%