NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	3.5 [1122]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +10.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	122		Comeback	1.0 [1193]		LVP	J.J. Barea (DAL): -7.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.23	0.00	0.16	11	104%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Salah Mejri	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	4	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.08	5	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Ryan Broekhoff	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	9	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	75%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	42%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	35%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.00	6	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	8	27%	-0.05	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.00	-0.08	21	45%	0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	7	75%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	24	59%	0.09	5	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	8	25%	-0.05
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	6	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.15	0.00	-0.10	14	21%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.5	2.4	33.6	14.7	31.0	1.8	28.3	144.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +9.6%

OKC +1.2%

OKC +8.9%

OKC +28.2%

OKC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	OKC	NBA	DAL	OKC	NBA
this game	13.4	12.1	14.3	89.5	108.9	109.3
season	14.7	12.9		108.5	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.1		106.4	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.1	13.4	12.6	13.5	13.4
OKC	9.8	11.4	11.8	15.8	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	18	18	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.05	-1	-19	18	15.8	13.0	2.86	15.9	11.3	4.57
Ryan Broekhoff	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-17	14	15.4	13.2	2.15	18.1	11.4	6.69
Salah Mejri	17	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.18	-8	-12	4	17.4	12.7	4.69	14.9	11.6	3.29
Maxi Kleber	43	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-16	12	13.1	13.6	-0.49	13.6	11.2	2.38
Dwight Powell	39	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-21	22	11.2	14.6	-3.41	12.7	11.7	1.08
Dorian Finney-Smith	55	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-16	12	13.0	13.8	-0.74	13.4	10.8	2.69
Devin Harris	41	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-17	14	11.6	14.4	-2.83	12.1	12.0	0.03
J.J. Barea	52	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-12	4	12.8	13.9	-1.13	11.8	12.2	-0.39
Dennis Smith Jr.	51	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-11	2	13.6	13.3	0.37	10.9	13.0	-2.01
DeAndre Jordan	58	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-7	-6	13.8	13.1	0.69	10.7	13.4	-2.61
Luka Doncic	55	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-4	-12	14.0	12.9	1.08	10.8	13.3	-2.50
Wesley Matthews	59	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	-4	-12	13.8	13.0	0.74	10.8	13.4	-2.69
Harrison Barnes	71	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	-4	-12	13.6	13.1	0.49	11.2	13.6	-2.38

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	83	84	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.16	22	-2	24	11.2	14.4	-3.23	13.6	12.9	0.75
Steven Adams	79	80	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.14	20	0	20	11.3	13.8	-2.54	13.8	12.5	1.31
Jerami Grant	67	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	4	12	11.0	13.6	-2.59	13.3	13.5	-0.20
Paul George	75	78	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	3	14	11.8	12.6	-0.77	13.8	12.6	1.18
Terrance Ferguson	56	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.23	21	-1	22	10.9	13.2	-2.25	15.3	11.5	3.85
Dennis Schroder	66	66	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	20	-20	13.0	10.7	2.27	11.8	15.6	-3.77
Hamidou Diallo	32	31	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	16	-12	13.3	11.5	1.76	13.5	13.4	0.04
Nerlens Noel	33	34	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	20	-20	13.8	11.3	2.54	12.5	13.8	-1.31
Patrick Patterson	41	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	20	-20	13.5	11.2	2.22	13.3	13.5	-0.19
Abdel Nader	28	29	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	20	-20	14.2	11.3	2.93	12.0	13.9	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 78, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
SAC 102, DAL 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
IND 97, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%