NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	2.2 [1263]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +26.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	110		Comeback	1.0 [1091]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -4.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.05	15	56%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.05	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Joe Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rakeem Christmas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	17	58%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.30	0.00	0.03	21	80%	0.26	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.00	0.05	8	91%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.05	15	55%	0.07	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	10	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	9	37%	0.02	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Wade Baldwin IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	10	29%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	27.5	15.3	27.5	1.8	27.0	127.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +37.5%

MEM +3.0%

IND -0.3%

MEM +8.1%

MEM +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MEM	NBA	IND	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	16.9	14.8	106.6	118.3	107.7
season	14.9	16.1		107.5	106.4
opponent	14.9	14.8		106.7	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	15.8	15.4	12.3	14.3
MEM	16.7	16.9	15.9	18.2	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Young	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	9.2	14.7	-5.54	13.4	17.2	-3.79
Georges Niang	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	9.2	14.7	-5.54	13.4	17.2	-3.79
Kevin Seraphin	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	15.0	14.3	0.70	20.4	16.7	3.66
Lavoy Allen	28	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-16	19	13.2	14.9	-1.68	17.3	16.7	0.59
Rakeem Christmas	29	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.26	8	-21	29	13.1	14.9	-1.82	16.3	17.2	-0.91
Aaron Brooks	55	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.44	10	-23	33	12.8	16.7	-3.99	17.5	16.0	1.50
CJ Miles	47	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-18	23	13.0	15.8	-2.82	17.7	16.1	1.57
Jeff Teague	36	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.32	-23	10	-33	16.7	12.8	3.99	16.0	17.5	-1.50
Paul George	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	3	-19	14.9	12.7	2.20	17.2	16.2	0.98
Monta Ellis	61	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.15	-20	7	-27	15.3	12.4	2.85	16.4	17.8	-1.37
Myles Turner	51	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	7	-27	15.5	12.9	2.53	17.4	16.3	1.15
Thaddeus Young	63	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.18	-23	10	-33	15.0	12.9	2.04	16.7	17.4	-0.64

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	64	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.26	27	-14	41	16.6	17.6	-1.00	15.0	12.9	2.15
Tony Allen	63	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.23	25	-12	37	16.8	17.2	-0.44	15.2	12.5	2.71
James Ennis III	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-1	15	16.9	17.1	-0.24	14.6	13.8	0.86
Mike Conley	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.11	17	-4	21	17.1	16.5	0.59	14.8	12.6	2.17
Brandan Wright	52	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.08	15	-2	17	17.1	16.8	0.32	14.8	13.7	1.10
Andrew Harrison	29	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	4	5	17.1	16.8	0.29	14.2	14.4	-0.27
Zach Randolph	48	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	15	-17	18.0	15.8	2.11	14.0	14.7	-0.73
Wade Baldwin IV	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	13.4	17.2	-3.79	9.2	14.7	-5.54
Wayne Selden	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	15.3	17.1	-1.77	11.6	14.6	-3.09
Deyonta Davis	20	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.30	-11	24	-35	17.0	16.9	0.08	12.4	14.9	-2.42
Troy Daniels	39	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.47	-17	30	-47	16.9	16.9	-0.02	12.8	15.3	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 79, OKC 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
SEA 87, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
MIA 62, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%