NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	132		Excitement	16.5 [6]		MVP	Joe Harris (BKN): +91.2%
Brooklyn Nets	134		Comeback	132.3 [13]		LVP	Tony Parker (CHA): -19.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0.69	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69	0.23	0.47	0.01	18	72%	0.69	0	0.00	7	86%	0.07
Kemba Walker	0.54	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.19,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.54,0.54	0.14	0.41	0.01	26	60%	0.60	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.23	0.09	0.14	-0.00	11	61%	0.23	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.02	7	87%	0.16	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	58%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	6	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Malik Monk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.28,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	53%	0.20	2	-0.24	1	100%	0.02
Cody Zeller	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	21%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Tony Parker	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.06	-0.15	-0.01	14	34%	-0.19	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.38,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.91	0.91	0.23	0.70	0.01	14	96%	0.98	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.41	0.41	0.16	0.24	-0.01	29	56%	0.48	1	-0.07	8	75%	0.04
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.04	0.36	-0.00	7	60%	0.43	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.18
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.03	0.15	-0.00	16	47%	0.20	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.10	-0.00	5	60%	0.20	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.02	9	72%	0.24	3	-0.28	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	18	44%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	21.6	1.7	23.5	0.2	27.2	1.8	41.0	2.6	13.8	2.7	14.9	150.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +90.1%

CHA -8.5%

BKN +0.9%

CHA -25.5%

CHA -7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BKN	NBA	CHA	BKN	NBA
this game	14.3	15.0	14.3	109.1	114.5	109.3
season	14.6	14.3		110.4	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.3		109.1	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	13.5	14.1	12.9	15.4	17.3	14.2
BKN	13.7	14.2	17.3	14.9	11.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willy Hernangomez	29	29	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.01	12	-14	26	13.3	14.6	-1.29	15.7	14.7	0.92
Malik Monk	46	45	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.21	4	-6	10	15.2	13.7	1.46	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Cody Zeller	49	47	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-2	2	13.7	14.7	-1.07	14.2	15.5	-1.33
Miles Bridges	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-3	4	14.0	14.4	-0.33	16.2	14.6	1.69
Tony Parker	43	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-7	12	13.9	14.5	-0.56	15.9	14.4	1.41
Frank Kaminsky	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-2	2	23.0	14.2	8.78	0.0	15.0	-14.97
Nicolas Batum	83	78	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	1	-4	14.3	14.4	-0.12	14.4	16.0	-1.55
Jeremy Lamb	100	99	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.51	1	-3	4	14.5	13.4	1.10	14.9	15.3	-0.43
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	33	31	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	4	-10	13.8	14.5	-0.73	15.2	14.9	0.27
Kemba Walker	93	88	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.44	-8	6	-14	14.4	14.0	0.42	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Marvin Williams	91	88	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.46	-14	12	-26	14.5	13.6	0.87	14.7	15.7	-0.92

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Harris	83	87	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.53	8	-6	14	14.8	15.3	-0.42	14.6	13.5	1.10
Spencer Dinwiddie	79	84	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.54	7	-5	12	15.2	14.4	0.85	15.0	12.6	2.44
Rodions Kurucs	80	83	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-3	8	14.5	15.9	-1.35	14.4	14.0	0.42
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	86	87	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-3	8	14.7	15.6	-0.84	14.6	13.4	1.18
Jared Dudley	70	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	3	-4	15.2	14.6	0.65	14.7	13.7	0.93
DeMarre Carroll	51	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	1	0	15.1	14.8	0.30	14.3	14.3	0.07
Jarrett Allen	49	52	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	-1	4	14.9	15.0	-0.05	13.3	15.1	-1.79
Ed Davis	28	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	6	-10	15.6	14.8	0.80	13.9	14.4	-0.52
D'Angelo Russell	59	58	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.07	-14	16	-30	14.9	15.0	-0.03	12.7	15.8	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.2,0.1,0.22,0.42,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.85,0.83,0.47,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 82, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.41,1	86.9%
SAS 100, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.27,1	86.8%
POR 94, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.4,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.28,1	86.7%