NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	82		Excitement	8.1 [236]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (CHI): +31.2%
Chicago Bulls	83		Comeback	12.2 [131]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -31.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	17	50%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.11	0.05	-0.09	0.07	13	62%	0.04	4	-0.15	13	77%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	11	37%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.10	0.00	16	46%	0.01	6	-0.24	3	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.21	0.01	9	83%	0.35	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.10	0.00	18	41%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	14	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.13	-0.17	0.01	12	40%	-0.15	5	-0.17	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.0	32.2	15.4	28.4	2.7	35.3	141.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +62.2%

BKN -20.2%

BKN -14.5%

CHI +17.9%

CHI +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHI	NBA	BKN	CHI	NBA
this game	17.5	15.2	15.4	94.3	93.3	104.1
season	16.5	16.6		106.5	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.3	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	18.0	18.6	15.6	18.0	17.5
CHI	14.0	16.6	15.0	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarShon Brooks	14	14	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.09	8	-9	17	17.3	17.5	-0.26	14.9	15.3	-0.38
Keith Bogans	32	34	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.18	-2	1	-3	17.1	17.7	-0.60	16.8	14.3	2.50
Reggie Evans	40	41	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.32	-11	10	-21	17.7	17.4	0.31	14.8	15.6	-0.82
Kris Humphries	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-3	5	17.3	17.6	-0.31	15.8	15.0	0.78
Andray Blatche	40	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	3	-7	18.3	16.8	1.47	14.9	15.5	-0.64
Gerald Wallace	70	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.43	8	-9	17	17.7	16.5	1.21	14.8	17.0	-2.23
CJ Watson	29	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.53	5	-6	11	16.3	18.1	-1.79	15.6	15.1	0.58
Brook Lopez	46	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.53	5	-6	11	17.2	17.9	-0.75	15.5	14.9	0.59
Joe Johnson	69	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.46	-6	5	-11	17.7	16.9	0.78	15.7	13.3	2.47
Deron Williams	65	68	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.70	-10	9	-19	17.6	17.2	0.37	14.4	18.0	-3.60

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	29	29	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.75	5	-4	9	14.9	15.4	-0.52	16.9	17.8	-0.97
Marquis Teague	35	32	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.51	6	-5	11	15.8	14.9	0.96	19.2	16.5	2.66
Marco Belinelli	72	71	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.48	3	-2	5	15.2	15.4	-0.13	17.2	19.1	-1.91
Luol Deng	84	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	-2	5	15.2	16.2	-1.01	17.3	21.7	-4.45
Joakim Noah	78	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.49	-1	2	-3	15.3	14.8	0.49	17.3	18.6	-1.30
Nazr Mohammed	5	6	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	-3	7	14.0	15.3	-1.32	19.8	17.3	2.50
Nate Robinson	53	54	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.07	-4	5	-9	15.2	15.4	-0.24	16.6	18.9	-2.26
Carlos Boozer	57	55	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.16	-1	2	-3	15.2	15.2	-0.00	18.2	16.3	1.84
Jimmy Butler	32	31	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.05	-10	11	-21	15.3	15.2	0.15	18.0	17.2	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.58,1	90.7%
POR 94, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.4,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.28,1	90.5%
NYK 90, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.42,1	90.0%