NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Excitement	8.5 [248]		MVP	Austin Rivers (HOU): +14.0%
Houston Rockets	113		Comeback	3.8 [278]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -23.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,0,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.14	0.00	0.10	-0.04	25	52%	0.24	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Steven Adams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	11	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Terrance Ferguson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.02	9	44%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.08
Dennis Schroder	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.02	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Abdel Nader	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	20	42%	-0.03	6	-0.20	10	70%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	6	62%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.02	35	53%	0.31	6	-0.17	7	86%	0.02
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	69%	0.16	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	15	52%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	61%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	18	47%	0.08	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	27.3	15.4	30.5	2.5	33.9	137.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +45.4%

OKC -0.6%

HOU +10.8%

OKC -9.4%

HOU +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	12.7	15.1	14.3	104.8	109.7	109.3
season	12.9	14.8		108.9	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.9		109.3	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.2	11.0	13.2	13.5	12.7
HOU	14.0	15.7	13.9	17.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Abdel Nader	21	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-6	8	11.7	13.0	-1.29	15.3	15.1	0.24
Patrick Patterson	12	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	2	-8	12.7	12.7	-0.03	13.5	15.3	-1.79
Nerlens Noel	24	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-2	0	13.0	12.6	0.45	15.9	14.9	0.95
Paul George	81	81	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-4	4	12.5	13.5	-1.01	15.1	15.3	-0.16
Terrance Ferguson	55	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	7	-18	12.6	12.8	-0.20	13.3	17.2	-3.85
Steven Adams	80	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-2	0	12.6	13.0	-0.45	14.9	15.9	-0.95
Russell Westbrook	80	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.46	6	-10	16	12.6	13.0	-0.40	15.8	12.7	3.08
Hamidou Diallo	28	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-1	-2	13.0	12.6	0.47	15.6	15.0	0.61
Dennis Schroder	75	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-2	0	12.6	12.8	-0.19	15.5	14.2	1.38
Jerami Grant	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-2	0	13.4	11.5	1.90	15.5	14.6	0.85

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	86	87	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	1	2	15.0	15.8	-0.74	12.7	12.6	0.12
Austin Rivers	63	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-2	8	15.9	14.0	1.87	12.7	12.6	0.08
James Harden	83	83	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	0	4	15.1	15.1	-0.01	12.9	11.9	1.05
Clint Capela	68	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	5	-6	15.4	14.7	0.74	12.5	13.0	-0.47
Danuel House Jr.	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	-1	6	14.4	16.1	-1.75	12.8	12.5	0.34
PJ Tucker	80	80	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	7	-10	15.1	15.4	-0.32	12.6	13.0	-0.45
Nene	35	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-1	6	14.7	15.4	-0.74	13.0	12.5	0.47
Gerald Green	42	43	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	3	-2	15.5	14.9	0.60	12.2	13.0	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.0%
BOS 88, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.27,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.99,1,1,1	92.6%
MIA 109, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.92,1	92.5%