NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	116		Excitement	7.5 [396]		MVP	Jonas Jerebko (GSW): +30.0%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	2.3 [947]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): -19.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.03	15	83%	0.22	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Maxi Kleber	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
J.J. Barea	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	10	52%	0.14	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	53%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Devin Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	10	40%	-0.14
Harrison Barnes	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.19	-0.01	-0.14	0.04	16	46%	-0.16	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.23	0.11	0.04	12	92%	0.30	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.11	0.02	18	66%	0.35	5	-0.16	8	100%	0.06
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	8	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	22	47%	-0.01	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	15	44%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.11	0.01	11	64%	0.09	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	25.7	14.8	31.4	1.8	34.6	133.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +34.0%

GSW +10.1%

GSW +12.8%

DAL -4.5%

DAL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	12.9	14.3	111.5	116.5	109.3
season	14.7	13.4		108.5	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.1		108.9	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.7	16.2	15.0	13.8	14.9
GSW	12.4	13.2	12.2	13.9	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	66	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-2	0	15.3	14.2	1.11	12.2	14.0	-1.77
Wesley Matthews	78	77	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-12	20	14.6	15.8	-1.14	12.8	13.2	-0.34
Harrison Barnes	78	78	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-10	16	14.6	15.8	-1.14	12.8	13.3	-0.55
DeAndre Jordan	78	78	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-10	16	14.6	15.8	-1.14	12.8	13.3	-0.55
Jalen Brunson	52	52	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-8	12	14.9	15.0	-0.10	13.2	12.6	0.51
J.J. Barea	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	2	-8	15.1	14.8	0.35	12.8	13.0	-0.19
Dirk Nowitzki	26	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	6	-16	15.8	14.6	1.14	13.3	12.8	0.55
Maxi Kleber	26	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	6	-16	15.8	14.6	1.14	13.3	12.8	0.55
Devin Harris	26	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	8	-20	15.8	14.6	1.14	13.2	12.8	0.34
Dorian Finney-Smith	46	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	0	-4	14.2	15.5	-1.29	13.7	12.3	1.35

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	53	52	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-6	16	12.6	13.2	-0.62	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Jonas Jerebko	46	46	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-10	24	12.4	13.3	-0.89	14.8	15.0	-0.27
Shaun Livingston	38	38	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-13	30	12.5	13.1	-0.60	14.8	15.0	-0.24
Kevin Durant	81	81	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	3	-2	12.8	13.3	-0.47	14.5	16.4	-1.90
Kevon Looney	50	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	2	0	12.7	13.1	-0.39	15.3	14.5	0.82
Stephen Curry	82	85	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	6	-8	13.3	11.3	1.97	15.2	13.7	1.44
Draymond Green	76	76	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	5	-6	12.8	13.1	-0.23	15.3	14.0	1.30
Klay Thompson	70	70	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.40	-12	16	-28	13.1	12.6	0.48	15.0	14.8	0.22
Jordan Bell	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	5	-6	13.3	12.9	0.41	13.6	15.0	-1.44
Alfonzo McKinnie	12	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.17	-8	12	-20	15.3	12.6	2.75	15.0	14.9	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
PHX 77, DAL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	93.3%
DET 81, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.95,1	93.1%