NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	7.6 [385]		MVP	Doug McDermott (IND): +12.3%
Indiana Pacers	110		Comeback	1.4 [1100]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): -10.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.03	11	56%	0.12	2	-0.03	10	70%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.03	11	74%	0.19	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.04
Luke Kornet	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	10	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Trey Burke	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	15	47%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	18	49%	-0.03	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	6	75%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.04	0.06	13	76%	0.23	4	-0.12	8	87%	-0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	19	57%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	8	37%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	10	59%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	44%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	28.2	14.8	25.2	2.3	32.6	129.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +56.7%

NYK -10.9%

IND +3.4%

IND +2.2%

NYK -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	14.5	14.3	102.1	112.2	109.3
season	14.5	14.5		103.8	108.4
opponent	14.6	14.1		105.7	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.3	14.5	13.8	15.0	15.1
IND	15.4	14.9	15.0	12.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kornet	20	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.11	2	-13	15	16.0	14.8	1.23	13.9	14.6	-0.65
Trey Burke	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-9	7	16.6	14.6	2.06	16.8	13.7	3.13
Emmanuel Mudiay	64	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-9	7	14.7	15.8	-1.13	12.8	17.9	-5.15
Noah Vonleh	66	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-7	3	14.8	15.7	-0.98	12.9	17.8	-4.83
Kevin Knox	73	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-6	1	14.9	15.5	-0.62	13.1	18.8	-5.64
Mario Hezonja	24	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	15.5	14.9	0.62	19.1	13.0	6.17
Frank Ntilikina	35	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	0	-11	15.3	15.0	0.33	17.3	13.0	4.37
Courtney Lee	34	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	1	-13	15.8	14.7	1.11	17.2	13.0	4.19
Tim Hardaway Jr.	73	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-2	-7	14.6	16.6	-2.06	13.7	16.8	-3.13
Enes Kanter	72	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-5	-1	15.0	15.3	-0.33	14.8	13.7	1.11

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	65	61	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.09	12	-1	13	13.9	15.7	-1.81	14.4	16.3	-1.92
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	73	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.03	13	-2	15	13.6	17.0	-3.34	15.2	14.7	0.48
Aaron Holiday	26	26	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	2	7	17.1	13.5	3.55	16.6	14.5	2.11
Domantas Sabonis	38	39	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	0	11	17.6	12.5	5.08	15.6	14.7	0.95
Victor Oladipo	74	74	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	4	3	13.6	17.1	-3.52	15.0	15.2	-0.13
Thaddeus Young	68	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	10	-9	13.4	16.9	-3.55	15.5	14.1	1.39
Myles Turner	73	71	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	6	-1	13.6	17.1	-3.50	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Doug McDermott	41	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	7	-3	16.4	13.1	3.30	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Darren Collison	32	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	18	-25	15.7	13.9	1.86	15.2	15.0	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.53,0.68,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.97,0.99,1	93.1%
WAS 91, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.9%
BOS 77, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.7%