inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 130 Excitement8.6 [227] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +31.8%
Sacramento Kings 125 Comeback116.7 [27] LVPDraymond Green (GSW): -14.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.320,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.320.190.13-0.002365%0.341-0.028100%0.07
Klay Thompson0.310,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.310.030.27-0.002747%0.3100.00475%-0.01
Kevin Durant0.270,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.27,0.270.120.180.032063%0.374-0.091292%0.10
Kevon Looney0.070,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.01583%0.0700.0020%-0.02
Jonas Jerebko0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.03-0.02650%0.072-0.03450%-0.04
Damion Lee0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002125%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Jordan Bell-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01250%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Quinn Cook-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.06-0.00450%-0.011-0.052100%0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.00425%-0.012-0.11425%-0.05
Draymond Green-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.01333%-0.035-0.1100%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Buddy Hield0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.260.260.160.10-0.002164%0.2600.0000%0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.140.080.031167%0.1900.001173%-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.170.020.02990%0.1700.002100%0.01
Justin Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.04-0.00756%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Marvin Bagley III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.02-0.020.02-0.05-0.011957%0.074-0.096100%0.03
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.02-0.01625%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.110.01-0.031340%0.064-0.13475%-0.00
Iman Shumpert0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.020.00831%-0.053-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.51.828.114.530.42.533.2138.1
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +11.5%
GSW +25.9%
GSW +29.6%
SAC -16.6%
SAC -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSACNBAGSWSACNBA
this game12.512.414.3112.1108.7109.3
season13.413.3114.5109.2
opponent14.315.0110.5108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.611.613.012.812.5
SAC10.913.212.712.912.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant89891.22-0.721.950.5523-184112.313.3-1.0312.412.40.05
Stephen Curry86871.03-0.531.560.5018-133111.814.4-2.6013.110.42.69
Kevon Looney66671.02-0.521.540.4619-143312.013.1-1.1112.911.71.23
Draymond Green74740.76-0.261.030.2916-112712.712.10.5713.310.92.37
Klay Thompson90890.54-0.040.580.308-31113.010.82.2412.213.2-1.04
Damion Lee2222-0.020.52-0.540.01-16-710.513.0-2.5313.612.11.50
Jordan Bell2525-0.160.66-0.830.10-914-2311.912.7-0.8010.912.8-1.92
Jonas Jerebko6058-0.450.95-1.40-0.10-1217-2913.211.71.4711.513.3-1.80
Quinn Cook3028-0.531.03-1.56-0.15-1318-3114.411.82.6010.413.1-2.69
Alfonzo McKinnie3836-0.911.41-2.32-0.21-2429-5312.812.40.4212.012.6-0.58

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kosta Koufos34350.50-1.001.510.1512-172912.412.5-0.1013.212.20.99
Justin Jackson61630.46-0.961.420.286-111712.212.7-0.4912.612.40.24
Yogi Ferrell33340.42-0.921.340.275-101512.612.30.2913.212.21.03
Marvin Bagley III14140.04-0.540.57-0.053-81110.912.6-1.7912.912.50.48
Bogdan Bogdanovic8183-0.15-0.350.20-0.4711-162712.212.9-0.6512.412.8-0.35
Iman Shumpert5657-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-116-1712.312.6-0.3112.712.30.41
Buddy Hield7877-0.530.03-0.55-0.23-105-1513.111.11.9812.412.7-0.35
De'Aaron Fox8685-0.850.35-1.21-0.65-72-912.412.5-0.1212.113.7-1.64
Willie Cauley-Stein8181-1.000.50-1.51-0.50-1712-2912.512.40.1012.213.2-0.99
Nemanja Bjelica5151-1.070.57-1.64-0.57-1712-2912.512.30.2212.612.40.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.67,0.85,0.71,0.54,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.91,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 105, NOP 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.41,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.6,0.67,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.59,089.2%
MIL 103, CHA 1020.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.68,0.93,0.93,0.85,088.5%
SAS 90, PHI 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.53,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.43,0.16,087.6%