NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	119		Excitement	2.9 [1202]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +8.5%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	1.1 [1092]		LVP	Emmanuel Mudiay (NYK): -8.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	-0.00	-0.02	20	56%	0.11	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.05	12	73%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.01	-0.08	8	50%	0.08	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Cody Zeller	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	5	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	9	65%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devonte' Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	5	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	80%	-0.01	2	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	25	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	13	70%	0.08	5	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	8	75%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.12	11	82%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	28.3	14.5	26.6	1.8	29.4	125.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +27.0%

CHA +3.6%

CHA +8.2%

CHA +10.2%

CHA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	13.2	14.3	115.5	103.9	109.3
season	14.6	14.5		110.4	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.3		112.5	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.2	13.4	14.4	16.2	14.8
NYK	14.2	14.3	11.8	12.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.32	26	-14	40	13.8	16.0	-2.17	13.6	12.6	1.07
Kemba Walker	67	66	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.07	17	-5	22	14.3	15.7	-1.44	13.2	13.1	0.11
Cody Zeller	57	56	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.09	17	-5	22	14.2	15.5	-1.30	13.5	12.9	0.57
Miles Bridges	50	51	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	9	-6	14.8	14.8	0.01	12.6	13.8	-1.18
Jeremy Lamb	60	60	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	2	8	14.9	14.6	0.26	13.0	13.5	-0.49
Malik Monk	43	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	10	-8	14.6	14.9	-0.26	13.5	13.0	0.49
Nicolas Batum	51	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	10	-8	14.9	14.6	0.36	13.0	13.4	-0.36
Tony Parker	34	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	9	-6	15.4	14.4	1.02	14.1	12.7	1.41
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	47	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	13	-14	15.6	14.0	1.58	13.1	13.3	-0.27
Frank Kaminsky	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	13	-14	14.9	14.7	0.22	13.3	13.2	0.09
Devonte' Graham	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	21	-30	16.7	14.5	2.21	12.2	13.3	-1.14
Willy Hernangomez	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	21	-30	17.2	14.5	2.70	10.7	13.4	-2.66

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Baker	19	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.18	6	-18	24	13.2	13.2	-0.06	16.1	14.5	1.64
Mario Hezonja	11	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-8	4	14.5	13.0	1.50	12.3	15.1	-2.78
Courtney Lee	28	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-16	20	12.1	13.6	-1.56	14.9	14.7	0.20
Frank Ntilikina	42	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-14	16	12.6	13.6	-1.07	15.1	14.5	0.54
Mitchell Robinson	38	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.43	8	-20	28	13.2	13.2	0.05	16.0	14.0	1.93
Damyean Dotson	67	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.47	7	-19	26	12.8	13.9	-1.05	14.9	14.5	0.44
Enes Kanter	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	5	-22	13.3	13.1	0.23	14.2	15.1	-0.85
Noah Vonleh	64	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.36	-23	11	-34	13.6	12.5	1.07	14.4	15.3	-0.97
Emmanuel Mudiay	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	8	-28	13.9	12.8	1.10	13.9	15.4	-1.52
Tim Hardaway Jr.	75	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	4	-20	13.6	12.1	1.56	14.7	14.9	-0.20
Kevin Knox	88	89	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-5	-2	12.9	14.7	-1.79	14.9	13.6	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
BOS 91, CHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
SAS 103, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%