NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	103		Excitement	2.4 [1275]		MVP	Brent Barry (SAS): +6.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	1.1 [593]		LVP	Justin Reed (MIN): -5.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.05	8	78%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	2	100%	0.08	3	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	68%	0.05	4	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	-0.00	0.12	15	61%	0.02	0	0.00	11	91%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bracey Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	8	72%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	18	53%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	26.1	15.7	25.2	2.6	26.2	120.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +28.1%

SAS +4.6%

SAS +20.4%

MIN -5.3%

SAS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIN	NBA	SAS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.6	110.8	98.9	104.4
season	16.3	16.1		106.0	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.6		103.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.0	14.1	14.2	18.2	15.5
MIN	16.7	15.9	15.2	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	64	63	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.13	17	-4	21	14.9	17.1	-2.21	16.6	13.8	2.80
Michael Finley	59	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	8	-3	16.0	14.7	1.28	14.6	17.7	-3.06
Brent Barry	41	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	6	1	16.3	15.0	1.29	14.8	16.5	-1.67
Tim Duncan	39	38	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.33	21	-8	29	13.8	16.8	-3.06	17.9	14.2	3.62
Tony Parker	32	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	1	11	14.2	16.2	-2.03	17.5	14.8	2.67
Manu Ginobili	45	45	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	9	-5	16.2	14.9	1.35	16.6	15.0	1.58
Nazr Mohammed	18	19	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	4	5	15.0	15.7	-0.68	17.3	15.4	1.90
Robert Horry	36	34	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	14	-15	16.1	15.2	0.92	14.1	16.8	-2.71
Nick Van Exel	28	29	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.31	-6	19	-25	17.6	14.7	2.95	14.6	16.3	-1.67
Beno Udrih	43	41	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	9	-5	15.1	15.9	-0.85	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Rasho Nesterovic	36	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	9	-5	15.5	15.6	-0.03	15.4	16.0	-0.63
Fabricio Oberto	24	23	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.33	-11	24	-35	16.4	15.3	1.11	14.5	16.2	-1.65

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	13	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-10	7	15.4	15.8	-0.44	16.1	15.4	0.70
Mark Blount	55	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-17	21	16.6	14.4	2.17	15.6	15.5	0.12
Marko Jaric	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-9	5	16.0	15.5	0.41	15.4	15.7	-0.33
Ronald Dupree	12	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-3	-7	17.2	15.5	1.72	11.5	16.2	-4.66
Justin Reed	47	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-2	-9	15.7	15.9	-0.20	15.1	16.0	-0.87
Rashad McCants	64	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-18	23	14.5	18.7	-4.19	16.3	13.6	2.76
Bracey Wright	45	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-12	11	14.8	16.7	-1.81	16.6	14.5	2.06
Trenton Hassell	44	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-11	9	15.9	15.7	0.20	16.0	15.1	0.87
Eddie Griffin	51	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.25	-23	10	-33	16.0	15.5	0.46	15.2	16.0	-0.74
Marcus Banks	77	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.07	-20	7	-27	16.3	12.9	3.43	15.1	17.9	-2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, MIN 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
GSW 101, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
IND 108, SAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%