NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	108		Excitement	2.6 [1256]		MVP	Fred Jones (IND): +11.5%
Sacramento Kings	83		Comeback	1.1 [603]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -11.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.00	-0.06	14	60%	0.14	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.21	0.00	0.16	18	74%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	5	82%	0.04	4	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	17%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
David Harrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	18%	0.00	2	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	11	47%	-0.04	1	0.00	8	37%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.01	0.08	12	70%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	60%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	-0.00	-0.09	12	42%	0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	55%	-0.02	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	6	47%	-0.00	4	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	40%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	10	23%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	29.3	15.6	24.5	2.4	28.6	126.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.7%

IND +0.8%

IND +14.5%

IND +7.9%

IND +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	14.7	15.6	114.9	88.3	104.4
season	16.0	15.3		102.3	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	16.5	16.0	16.3	16.0
SAC	15.0	15.5	15.3	13.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	51	50	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.24	25	0	25	16.4	15.4	0.99	15.2	14.1	1.15
Stephen Jackson	64	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.33	25	0	25	15.8	16.4	-0.60	15.0	13.9	1.11
Austin Croshere	40	40	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.22	21	4	17	16.0	15.9	0.12	15.6	14.0	1.64
Jermaine O'Neal	43	44	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.32	23	2	21	15.7	16.2	-0.48	15.3	14.1	1.20
Sarunas Jasikevicius	55	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	17	-9	15.7	16.4	-0.73	14.3	15.2	-0.85
Jeff Foster	44	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.23	17	8	9	15.5	16.3	-0.77	16.2	13.4	2.86
Anthony Johnson	39	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.33	17	8	9	16.4	15.7	0.73	15.2	14.3	0.85
Danny Granger	61	61	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.13	7	18	-11	16.1	15.6	0.54	14.4	15.2	-0.77
David Harrison	28	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	30	-35	16.5	15.7	0.77	12.7	15.6	-2.83
Scot Pollard	28	29	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	29	-33	16.6	15.7	0.93	12.4	15.7	-3.23
Eddie Gill	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	34	-43	14.2	16.3	-2.10	12.1	15.3	-3.20

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Sampson	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-30	35	12.5	15.4	-2.91	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Ronnie Price	21	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-27	29	12.1	15.4	-3.27	15.0	16.3	-1.31
Francisco Garcia	53	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-25	25	13.9	15.7	-1.82	16.0	15.9	0.14
Brian Skinner	51	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-25	25	14.0	15.5	-1.57	16.0	15.9	0.05
Jason Hart	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-21	17	13.9	15.8	-1.82	16.3	15.4	0.86
Kenny Thomas	66	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.35	-21	-4	-17	14.9	14.1	0.87	16.7	14.2	2.48
Kevin Martin	41	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.41	-25	0	-25	15.7	13.9	1.82	15.9	16.0	-0.14
Peja Stojakovic	48	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.43	-27	2	-29	15.4	14.0	1.42	16.2	15.6	0.60
Mike Bibby	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.42	-27	2	-29	16.4	13.1	3.30	14.9	16.9	-2.01
Brad Miller	67	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.37	-28	3	-31	15.5	12.7	2.72	15.8	16.4	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
SAS 108, DEN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
SAS 103, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%