NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	106		Excitement	3.9 [1063]		MVP	Julius Randle (NOP): +19.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	132		Comeback	1.6 [960]		LVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): -7.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	63%	0.02	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Ryan Broekhoff	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	60%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	12	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	53%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	0.00	0.06	10	70%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	2	50%	0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.03	-0.01	16	69%	0.19	1	-0.00	7	43%	-0.05
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.01	0.05	6	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	16	53%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	20	59%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	11	63%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	5	67%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	26.4	14.8	27.5	1.8	28.2	124.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +49.1%

DAL -3.1%

DAL -2.6%

NOP +5.1%

NOP +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOP	NBA	DAL	NOP	NBA
this game	14.1	12.8	14.3	99.1	123.4	109.3
season	14.7	13.4		108.5	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.1		111.5	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	14.4	13.2	14.5	14.1
NOP	11.5	10.4	14.5	15.5	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Broekhoff	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-25	24	13.4	14.4	-1.00	16.5	11.3	5.18
Devin Harris	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-20	14	14.2	14.0	0.19	11.7	13.1	-1.46
Maxi Kleber	52	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-16	6	13.6	14.5	-0.86	14.3	11.5	2.82
Dwight Powell	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-16	6	13.2	14.8	-1.60	14.5	11.3	3.19
J.J. Barea	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.21	-15	-11	-4	14.1	14.0	0.12	13.2	12.6	0.61
Dorian Finney-Smith	65	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.29	-18	-8	-10	14.3	13.8	0.48	12.4	13.5	-1.05
Jalen Brunson	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-17	8	13.6	14.6	-0.97	14.1	11.6	2.52
Luka Doncic	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-18	10	14.4	13.8	0.57	11.5	14.0	-2.47
DeAndre Jordan	57	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.18	-16	-10	-6	14.8	13.2	1.60	11.3	14.5	-3.19
Harrison Barnes	55	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.16	-16	-10	-6	14.5	13.6	0.86	11.5	14.3	-2.82
Wesley Matthews	58	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.24	-21	-5	-16	14.3	13.8	0.55	11.4	14.5	-3.04

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.16	21	5	16	12.8	13.1	-0.31	14.0	14.5	-0.51
Solomon Hill	52	54	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.25	21	5	16	11.1	14.5	-3.47	15.1	13.1	2.02
E'Twaun Moore	58	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.22	19	7	12	13.5	12.1	1.40	14.0	14.2	-0.16
Cheick Diallo	51	52	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.20	17	9	8	13.4	12.3	1.09	13.8	14.3	-0.52
Darius Miller	59	58	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	16	-6	13.7	11.8	1.83	13.4	14.9	-1.48
Jrue Holiday	77	77	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.32	21	5	16	12.5	13.6	-1.10	14.7	12.5	2.19
Anthony Davis	75	74	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	15	-4	12.4	13.9	-1.52	14.5	13.1	1.42
Tim Frazier	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	28	-30	12.8	12.9	-0.09	13.5	14.7	-1.19
Jahlil Okafor	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	14.4	12.7	1.70	12.9	14.2	-1.30
Andrew Harrison	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	14.4	12.7	1.70	12.9	14.2	-1.30
Wesley Johnson	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	14.4	12.7	1.70	12.9	14.2	-1.30
Ian Clark	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	14.4	12.7	1.70	12.9	14.2	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 79, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 77, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
POR 83, PHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%