NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	122		Excitement	1.6 [1307]		MVP	Frank Mason (SAC): +5.2%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	1.0 [1078]		LVP	Josh Jackson (PHX): -9.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Mason	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	53%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	9	70%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Justin Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	5	100%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	69%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Ben McLemore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harry Giles III	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	5	68%	0.00	1	0.00	9	56%	0.00
Troy Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.11	6	92%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.11	13	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.05	11	53%	-0.02	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	6	35%	0.03	3	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	8	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	9	68%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.17	0.00	0.17	12	87%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.00	4	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	12	28%	-0.04	2	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	0.03	13	50%	-0.06	4	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	0.02	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	0.04	11	50%	-0.04	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	27.1	14.7	25.2	2.5	28.3	124.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.0%

PHX -1.3%

SAC +3.2%

SAC +10.3%

SAC +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	12.9	15.2	14.3	119.6	101.9	109.3
season	13.3	14.4		109.2	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.3		114.0	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.0	13.4	11.7	15.3	12.9
PHX	16.7	16.0	15.4	12.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	51	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	4	9	12.3	13.5	-1.18	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Bogdan Bogdanovic	41	43	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.50	28	-11	39	13.2	12.6	0.56	16.3	14.5	1.81
De'Aaron Fox	59	59	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	3	11	12.2	13.7	-1.52	15.3	15.1	0.19
Justin Jackson	38	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.48	26	-9	35	13.1	12.7	0.43	18.2	13.4	4.72
Willie Cauley-Stein	40	41	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.15	14	3	11	11.2	13.9	-2.74	16.6	14.3	2.26
Kosta Koufos	40	40	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.20	15	2	13	13.3	12.5	0.80	15.4	15.1	0.37
Nemanja Bjelica	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	16	-15	11.9	13.7	-1.83	14.2	16.1	-1.94
Buddy Hield	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	9	-1	11.3	13.9	-2.60	16.6	14.4	2.28
Frank Mason	42	42	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	18	-19	13.8	12.2	1.53	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Troy Williams	45	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	11	-5	13.3	12.5	0.76	15.3	15.1	0.20
Ben McLemore	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	29	-41	15.0	12.3	2.72	12.3	16.0	-3.75
Harry Giles III	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	29	-41	15.0	12.3	2.72	12.3	16.0	-3.75
Yogi Ferrell	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	32	-47	15.0	12.2	2.76	12.3	16.1	-3.81

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Bender	25	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-32	47	12.8	16.0	-3.15	15.3	12.0	3.33
De'Anthony Melton	52	53	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.71	24	-41	65	12.8	17.7	-4.96	13.9	11.8	2.09
Ryan Anderson	8	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-9	1	20.1	14.8	5.31	13.9	12.8	1.10
Richaun Holmes	45	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-13	9	15.6	14.9	0.75	13.8	12.2	1.60
Troy Daniels	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-10	3	15.7	14.9	0.75	13.8	12.2	1.58
Jamal Crawford	48	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.24	-17	0	-17	14.7	15.7	-1.04	12.4	13.3	-0.84
Mikal Bridges	73	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-4	-9	15.5	14.6	0.83	12.4	14.0	-1.59
Josh Jackson	60	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-2	-13	15.2	15.3	-0.06	12.4	13.5	-1.04
Deandre Ayton	46	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.23	-19	2	-21	15.7	14.8	0.93	11.7	13.8	-2.10
Trevor Ariza	60	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.19	-19	2	-21	15.8	14.5	1.30	12.2	13.7	-1.52
Elie Okobo	56	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.25	-22	5	-27	16.4	13.9	2.52	12.3	13.6	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.4%
TOR 123, NJN 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.3%
CHI 115, GSW 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%