NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	123		Excitement	1.7 [1249]		MVP	Walt Williams (TOR): +10.5%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	1.1 [585]		LVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): -18.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.00	-0.02	18	62%	0.11	1	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Popeye Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	86%	0.04	3	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Sharone Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	11	61%	0.04	2	-0.01	9	56%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	11	57%	0.02	3	-0.00	8	100%	-0.00
Earl Cureton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Long	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Martin Lewis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	-0.02	1	0.00	10	60%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	0.00	0.09	19	67%	-0.01	5	-0.02	4	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	8	31%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lloyd Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	69%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	4	79%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.10	0.00	0.11	17	71%	0.01	3	-0.01	8	100%	-0.01
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Werdann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	12	47%	-0.00	5	-0.03	6	100%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	0.00	-0.04	17	39%	-0.08	4	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	11	27%	-0.18	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.6	29.7	15.5	28.3	2.5	27.7	131.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +41.2%

TOR +6.2%

NJN -3.7%

TOR +5.2%

TOR +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	14.6	13.5	15.6	120.6	102.9	104.4
season	16.1	15.4		102.2	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.0		106.6	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.5	14.2	16.3	15.1	14.6
NJN	16.1	13.5	11.4	13.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	80	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.21	24	-7	31	14.8	13.8	1.01	14.8	9.0	5.71
Damon Stoudamire	78	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-1	19	16.0	9.9	6.14	14.5	10.5	3.96
Popeye Jones	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.17	19	-2	21	15.8	11.9	3.88	14.1	12.2	1.95
Doug Christie	90	91	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	-3	23	15.0	11.3	3.67	13.3	15.0	-1.66
Sharone Wright	32	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	7	3	18.2	12.9	5.32	15.6	12.5	3.15
Marcus Camby	63	64	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	12	-7	13.3	16.7	-3.40	12.5	15.3	-2.77
Carlos Rogers	50	50	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	16	-15	13.5	15.6	-2.14	11.3	15.7	-4.38
Acie Earl	30	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.14	-1	18	-19	10.5	16.3	-5.81	11.8	14.2	-2.42
Earl Cureton	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	9.2	14.8	-5.54	11.5	13.6	-2.12
John Long	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	7.0	15.2	-8.21	11.0	13.7	-2.72
Martin Lewis	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	8.6	14.9	-6.28	11.0	13.7	-2.66

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Werdann	26	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.18	-7	-10	3	12.5	13.9	-1.33	14.7	14.5	0.25
Yinka Dare	32	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.29	9	-26	35	11.9	14.3	-2.32	11.5	15.9	-4.39
Ed O'Bannon	46	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-14	11	12.7	14.2	-1.44	13.8	15.3	-1.45
Khalid Reeves	31	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-14	11	13.5	13.5	0.02	12.7	15.4	-2.74
Lloyd Daniels	36	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.38	-21	4	-25	14.1	13.2	0.84	10.7	16.6	-5.87
Kerry Kittles	67	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-6	-5	13.7	13.3	0.35	15.7	12.6	3.01
Robert Pack	87	88	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	0	-17	13.6	13.4	0.11	15.4	9.4	5.96
Tony Massenburg	61	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	0	-17	14.5	12.1	2.47	15.1	14.0	1.10
Kendall Gill	75	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-13	9	13.3	14.3	-1.03	15.6	12.1	3.49
Jayson Williams	54	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	-6	-5	14.3	12.7	1.68	16.1	13.0	3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 122, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.3%
SAS 104, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
CHI 115, GSW 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%