NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	110		Excitement	10.7 [58]		MVP	Montrezl Harrell (LAC): +36.1%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	2.6 [369]		LVP	Tobias Harris (LAC): -31.0%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.21,0.36,0.36	0.16	0.20	-0.00	15	64%	0.36	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.17
Lou Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15	0.04	0.12	-0.00	16	60%	0.44	3	-0.28	3	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	16	57%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Avery Bradley	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Milos Teodosic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	57%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.31	-0.09	-0.22	0.00	18	37%	-0.22	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28	0.28	0.04	0.23	-0.01	11	55%	0.31	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.07
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.19	0.00	7	62%	0.27	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	4	80%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.12	0.00	18	59%	0.05	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	7	56%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.12,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.12	0.03	28	49%	-0.03	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	27.1	14.3	26.8	1.6	37.7	133.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -11.3%

DAL +22.0%

DAL +45.9%

DAL +3.8%

LAC -10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.3	13.5	14.3	103.8	104.6	109.3
season	13.9	14.7		111.3	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.1		109.7	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.4	13.1	14.3	12.5	13.3
DAL	15.4	12.6	13.4	12.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	38	41	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.01	8	-12	20	11.6	14.2	-2.59	14.1	13.1	1.04
Mike Scott	33	35	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.06	9	-13	22	11.3	14.2	-2.84	14.4	13.1	1.37
Sindarius Thornwell	12	14	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-8	12	12.2	13.4	-1.27	13.6	13.5	0.17
Boban Marjanovic	3	3	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-4	4	6.0	13.5	-7.50	15.7	13.4	2.23
Lou Williams	59	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.25	8	-12	20	12.1	14.8	-2.69	13.0	14.2	-1.16
Milos Teodosic	3	4	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-2	0	12.7	13.3	-0.64	8.5	13.7	-5.19
Marcin Gortat	40	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	14.5	12.6	1.94	14.6	12.8	1.83
Montrezl Harrell	54	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-6	8	12.7	13.9	-1.12	13.2	13.8	-0.65
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	52	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.16	-13	9	-22	14.6	12.0	2.56	14.1	12.9	1.19
Avery Bradley	81	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.36	-7	3	-10	13.9	11.4	2.48	13.5	13.4	0.16
Tobias Harris	79	80	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.36	-12	8	-20	13.9	11.4	2.53	13.1	14.7	-1.63
Danilo Gallinari	76	77	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.35	-14	10	-24	14.0	11.6	2.36	12.9	15.0	-2.09

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	76	75	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.32	15	-11	26	13.1	14.4	-1.33	14.0	11.5	2.56
Harrison Barnes	85	83	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-6	16	13.3	14.2	-0.91	13.8	11.5	2.26
Dennis Smith Jr.	71	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	-2	8	13.5	13.5	0.03	13.7	12.5	1.12
DeAndre Jordan	74	74	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-4	12	13.7	13.0	0.77	13.4	12.9	0.51
Wesley Matthews	67	69	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	4	-4	13.8	13.0	0.84	13.3	13.3	-0.05
Devin Harris	41	38	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	6	-8	13.5	13.5	0.07	12.2	13.9	-1.77
J.J. Barea	63	59	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	8	-12	13.7	13.3	0.37	12.5	14.2	-1.69
Dwight Powell	40	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.04	-3	7	-10	13.3	13.6	-0.23	12.7	13.6	-0.91
Salah Mejri	14	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	10	-16	13.4	13.5	-0.08	12.4	13.4	-0.99
Jalen Brunson	14	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	8	-12	13.6	13.5	0.17	12.2	13.4	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.48,0.56,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.74,1	92.7%
ORL 82, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.58,1	91.6%
LAC 80, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.58,1	91.4%