NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	119		Excitement	6.6 [548]		MVP	Willie Cauley-Stein (SAC): +19.2%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.2 [272]		LVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): -6.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	15	68%	0.19	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
De'Aaron Fox	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.08	-0.05	14	52%	0.15	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.01	0.08	0.01	19	46%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Justin Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	6	86%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.15	-0.00	0.09	9	95%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Frank Mason	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Harry Giles III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	12	42%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.24	0.02	0.09	23	69%	0.18	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	59%	0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Raul Neto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	14	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	15	39%	0.01	1	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	9	48%	0.02	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.5	30.3	15.0	25.2	2.3	35.6	140.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +47.8%

UTA -3.6%

SAC +2.5%

UTA -1.1%

SAC +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	15.1	14.3	119.0	111.1	109.3
season	13.3	14.3		109.2	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.3		105.2	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.6	15.7	12.3	14.8	13.8
UTA	14.6	13.1	18.4	14.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Aaron Fox	76	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-3	15	13.6	14.5	-0.89	15.1	15.1	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	56	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-1	11	14.1	13.5	0.61	14.8	15.5	-0.70
Bogdan Bogdanovic	63	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	8	-7	14.6	12.5	2.12	14.0	17.2	-3.20
Willie Cauley-Stein	70	71	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	2	5	13.6	14.3	-0.64	15.5	14.1	1.48
Buddy Hield	62	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-3	15	13.4	14.6	-1.18	16.7	12.9	3.85
Nemanja Bjelica	50	52	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	6	-3	13.6	14.0	-0.36	15.3	15.0	0.33
Iman Shumpert	61	61	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	6	-3	13.2	14.8	-1.56	15.3	14.8	0.51
Justin Jackson	33	32	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	6	-3	14.5	13.5	1.04	14.1	15.6	-1.53
Harry Giles III	16	15	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	12	-15	14.7	13.6	1.11	15.3	15.1	0.24
Frank Mason	13	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	12	-15	13.9	13.8	0.12	13.2	15.4	-2.14

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	4	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-6	3	10.7	15.3	-4.57	17.7	13.7	3.97
Royce O'Neale	30	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-10	11	14.0	15.6	-1.58	15.0	13.3	1.64
Dante Exum	30	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.09	-4	-5	1	13.9	15.7	-1.81	14.3	13.6	0.64
Alec Burks	31	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-7	5	16.1	14.7	1.45	14.9	13.4	1.50
Ricky Rubio	61	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-5	1	15.8	14.1	1.67	13.5	14.4	-0.89
Joe Ingles	76	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-7	5	15.4	14.1	1.30	13.4	15.2	-1.80
Donovan Mitchell	70	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-1	-7	15.0	15.4	-0.35	13.5	14.7	-1.29
Jae Crowder	78	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-5	1	14.7	16.8	-2.13	13.8	14.0	-0.18
Rudy Gobert	71	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-7	5	15.0	15.6	-0.61	13.8	13.8	0.07
Derrick Favors	44	44	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.10	-17	8	-25	16.3	14.2	2.05	13.6	14.0	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 125, DAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	94.0%
LAC 98, OKC 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
GSW 105, POR 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.2%