NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	116		Excitement	7.0 [471]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +22.1%
Chicago Bulls	124		Comeback	3.0 [396]		LVP	Isaiah Canaan (PHX): -12.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	15	64%	0.20	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	12	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	11	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	13	64%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	45%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	20	52%	0.12	6	-0.23	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Canaan	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.12	-0.01	20	59%	0.26	2	-0.04	9	89%	-0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.01	7	100%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.02	10	67%	0.22	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.02
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	7	53%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	70%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	69%	0.13	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	0.5	31.1	14.5	24.4	1.7	32.3	129.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +45.8%

CHI +8.9%

PHX -0.8%

PHX -6.3%

CHI +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	13.1	14.3	110.5	119.2	109.3
season	14.4	14.6		104.8	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.0		112.4	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	14.5	15.0	14.0	14.5
CHI	14.3	11.7	12.1	14.2	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Jackson	30	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-9	10	14.2	14.6	-0.37	12.2	13.4	-1.25
Richaun Holmes	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-7	6	14.2	14.6	-0.47	13.0	13.1	-0.13
T.J. Warren	73	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-2	-4	13.8	16.2	-2.43	13.0	13.1	-0.05
Mikal Bridges	64	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-6	4	14.1	15.1	-1.07	13.4	12.5	0.95
Isaiah Canaan	57	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-4	0	15.4	13.4	1.99	13.2	12.9	0.22
Jamal Crawford	46	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-5	-3	-2	14.8	14.2	0.63	12.7	13.4	-0.69
Deandre Ayton	71	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	14.6	14.2	0.47	13.1	13.0	0.13
Devin Booker	71	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.6	14.3	0.25	13.1	12.9	0.26
Trevor Ariza	79	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.7	13.9	0.76	13.2	12.6	0.55

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Parker	86	88	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-6	20	12.6	15.2	-2.62	14.6	13.9	0.73
Zach LaVine	81	80	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	4	0	13.3	12.0	1.30	14.7	13.7	1.02
Ryan Arcidiacono	69	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	0	8	12.8	13.5	-0.73	14.2	15.2	-1.01
Cristiano Felicio	31	31	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	5	-2	13.5	12.8	0.70	14.8	14.4	0.49
Robin Lopez	25	25	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-1	10	11.8	13.5	-1.71	15.7	14.1	1.55
Cameron Payne	17	18	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	0	8	11.8	13.3	-1.55	15.3	14.3	0.94
Antonio Blakeney	52	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	8	-8	13.6	12.6	1.00	14.9	14.1	0.71
Justin Holiday	73	75	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	8	-8	13.2	12.8	0.40	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	48	49	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	12	-16	13.4	12.7	0.67	13.7	15.2	-1.54
Shaquille Harrison	38	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	10	-12	13.6	12.8	0.82	14.6	14.4	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.99,0.95,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.92,1	94.4%
LAC 109, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%
NOH 76, POR 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%