NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	96		Excitement	4.3 [979]		MVP	T.J. Warren (PHX): +24.2%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	1.0 [472]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -20.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	15	60%	0.12	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.04
Bryn Forbes	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	29%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Chimezie Metu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	43%	0.00	1	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	12	57%	0.03	5	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	6	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.15	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	12	25%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.02	-0.02	17	71%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.02	0.08	8	119%	0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	11	74%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	13	54%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	92%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	6	33%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.06	0.00	14	45%	-0.06	7	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	24.5	14.7	28.2	2.6	26.5	124.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +68.6%

SAS -6.9%

SAS -10.2%

SAS -3.4%

PHX +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	13.4	16.0	14.3	98.0	118.4	109.3
season	14.8	14.4		111.7	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.4		114.0	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.2	13.8	14.2	11.5	13.4
PHX	14.0	16.2	15.2	18.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chimezie Metu	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-20	20	10.6	13.9	-3.24	18.0	15.6	2.38
Davis Bertans	29	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-19	18	11.3	14.3	-3.06	16.0	15.9	0.06
Patty Mills	46	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-19	18	12.5	14.2	-1.75	15.2	16.5	-1.29
Marco Belinelli	53	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-13	6	13.4	13.4	0.01	15.6	16.4	-0.86
Quincy Pondexter	21	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-12	4	10.9	14.1	-3.27	17.5	15.5	1.98
LaMarcus Aldridge	58	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-9	-2	14.3	12.2	2.08	16.1	15.7	0.39
Bryn Forbes	58	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-12	4	13.7	13.1	0.60	15.4	16.8	-1.41
Jakob Poeltl	40	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-11	2	12.2	14.3	-2.08	15.7	16.1	-0.39
DeMar DeRozan	65	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.12	-17	-3	-14	14.3	11.7	2.66	16.0	16.0	-0.02
Derrick White	56	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.19	-20	0	-20	14.1	12.5	1.54	16.6	15.0	1.66
Dante Cunningham	51	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	-2	-16	15.1	11.6	3.52	15.6	16.3	-0.73

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Warren	75	77	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.21	24	-4	28	16.2	15.1	1.08	13.6	13.0	0.61
Mikal Bridges	52	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.24	23	-3	26	15.1	17.0	-1.92	13.7	13.1	0.63
Deandre Ayton	60	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	4	12	16.4	15.3	1.05	13.5	13.4	0.10
Devin Booker	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	0	20	16.5	14.0	2.47	13.0	14.9	-1.85
Jamal Crawford	35	34	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	14	-8	14.9	16.6	-1.67	13.4	13.5	-0.07
Isaiah Canaan	63	65	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.22	14	6	8	16.6	14.9	1.67	13.4	13.6	-0.22
De'Anthony Melton	22	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	20	-20	14.0	16.5	-2.47	15.2	12.9	2.30
Richaun Holmes	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	16	-12	15.3	16.4	-1.05	13.4	13.5	-0.10
Josh Jackson	46	45	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	23	-26	15.8	16.1	-0.29	12.9	13.8	-0.92
Dragan Bender	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	20.3	15.5	4.82	9.6	13.8	-4.14
Ryan Anderson	14	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	24	-28	15.6	16.0	-0.37	15.5	13.1	2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
ORL 83, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,1	94.5%
PHX 115, MIA 125	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.4%