NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	3.8 [1072]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +22.1%
Houston Rockets	115		Comeback	1.2 [840]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -6.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.03	11	74%	0.11	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	62%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	65%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	79%	0.04	4	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	24	41%	-0.03	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.02	-0.08	20	73%	0.32	9	-0.10	15	93%	0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.00	0.00	13	79%	0.18	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.00	0.00	9	78%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
PJ Tucker	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.01	6	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	55%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	14	30%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.4	26.6	15.5	27.8	1.8	29.9	134.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.0%

IND -2.9%

HOU +7.2%

HOU +1.0%

HOU +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	14.0	16.8	14.3	109.6	123.7	109.3
season	14.5	14.8		108.4	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.6		109.3	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.6	16.0	15.0	11.3	14.0
HOU	15.2	15.3	17.0	20.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	17	16	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-16	20	13.1	14.2	-1.14	17.6	16.7	0.89
Bojan Bogdanovic	75	72	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.34	10	-22	32	13.3	16.7	-3.44	17.4	14.7	2.73
Domantas Sabonis	43	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-12	12	13.6	14.4	-0.79	18.0	15.9	2.09
Kyle O'Quinn	10	10	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-1	-10	14.7	13.9	0.80	12.5	17.3	-4.85
Myles Turner	45	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-6	0	14.8	13.3	1.51	16.7	16.9	-0.22
Cory Joseph	52	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-6	0	13.9	14.1	-0.23	18.0	15.5	2.45
Tyreke Evans	39	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	1	-14	14.4	13.7	0.72	15.8	17.5	-1.64
Thaddeus Young	46	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-1	-10	14.4	13.6	0.87	15.6	18.1	-2.58
Darren Collison	66	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-1	-10	13.9	14.1	-0.17	16.8	17.0	-0.24
Victor Oladipo	77	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.03	-16	4	-20	14.2	13.1	1.14	16.7	17.6	-0.89

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	77	76	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.02	20	-8	28	16.8	17.2	-0.43	14.3	12.7	1.57
James Harden	74	73	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.14	13	-1	14	17.0	16.2	0.78	13.9	14.2	-0.26
Gary Clark	62	63	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.03	16	-4	20	17.0	16.5	0.56	14.0	13.9	0.08
Isaiah Hartenstein	24	26	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	-4	20	16.8	16.8	-0.05	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Chris Paul	69	71	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	5	2	16.9	16.5	0.39	13.5	15.4	-1.91
Eric Gordon	58	59	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	9	-6	17.2	16.2	1.05	14.2	13.6	0.57
Clint Capela	57	56	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	15	-18	16.2	17.7	-1.50	14.6	13.1	1.53
James Ennis III	44	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.30	-12	24	-36	16.5	17.1	-0.58	13.4	14.6	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIA 86, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ORL 94, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%