inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 86 Excitement2.8 [1210] MVPBrent Barry (SAS): +9.2%
San Antonio Spurs 106 Comeback1.0 [1258] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -6.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Barron0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.090.000.05971%0.061-0.023100%0.00
Robert Hite0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.070.000.06675%0.0100.0000%0.00
Wayne Simien0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02256%0.0000.00560%0.00
Chris Quinn-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01550%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.000.01467%0.033-0.04757%-0.01
Jason Kapono-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.000.05757%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Gary Payton-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01736%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00731%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Michael Doleac-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.00150%0.002-0.042100%0.01
Dorell Wright-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01540%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.031746%0.025-0.09580%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.00-0.00875%0.091-0.00475%0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.110.010.05981%0.112-0.053100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.04-0.00-0.011363%0.093-0.051100%-0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.011751%0.052-0.04333%-0.01
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00460%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01550%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jackie Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05325%0.0010.002100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.000.04550%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0220%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.011154%-0.014-0.052100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.23.730.218.730.33.527.4143.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +30.6%
SAS +3.6%
SAS +8.5%
SAS +4.6%
SAS +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASASNBAMIASASNBA
this game14.815.315.489.6111.6104.5
season16.016.2102.4107.5
opponent15.415.698.9104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.315.516.014.914.8
SAS13.414.516.717.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Doleac22210.00-0.500.510.000-202013.315.3-1.9514.115.7-1.53
Chris Quinn2223-0.01-0.490.49-0.093-232614.914.80.1117.014.82.25
Wayne Simien2223-0.01-0.490.49-0.093-232614.914.80.1117.014.82.25
Robert Hite3133-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-191815.314.60.6916.614.71.90
Earl Barron3839-0.17-0.330.16-0.170-202014.315.2-0.8817.314.03.34
Antoine Walker2120-0.23-0.270.040.18-14-6-817.614.13.5212.216.2-3.91
Jason Kapono5355-0.24-0.260.020.11-12-8-414.515.2-0.6215.215.5-0.32
Dorell Wright5351-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.03-8-12414.615.1-0.5314.516.3-1.79
Udonis Haslem5654-0.33-0.17-0.160.05-13-7-614.115.8-1.6715.714.90.81
Alonzo Mourning3635-0.33-0.17-0.170.25-200-2016.313.92.3713.916.2-2.34
Dwyane Wade7169-0.36-0.14-0.220.14-17-3-1414.416.1-1.7515.215.6-0.38
Gary Payton5552-0.540.04-0.570.08-211-2215.214.30.9715.015.8-0.83

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Fabricio Oberto29320.450.050.40-0.2022-22416.115.01.1016.514.02.56
Brent Barry49480.430.070.350.02146815.715.00.7015.014.70.27
Bruce Bowen57600.410.090.32-0.151911815.015.8-0.7514.914.60.29
Tim Duncan40440.400.100.29-0.131821615.515.20.3216.313.62.72
Tony Parker44480.300.200.10-0.05128415.115.6-0.5014.615.0-0.44
Manu Ginobili47480.220.28-0.06-0.13128414.616.1-1.5515.514.21.27
Beno Udrih51480.200.30-0.10-0.04812-415.615.10.5015.014.60.44
Francisco Elson43410.100.40-0.310.10020-2015.515.20.2313.016.2-3.27
Robert Horry43420.050.45-0.40-0.13614-814.316.2-1.9713.815.6-1.76
Jackie Butler24220.010.49-0.490.09-323-2617.014.82.2814.914.80.11
Matt Bonner2222-0.010.51-0.520.23-828-3617.114.82.3414.215.0-0.77
Michael Finley2625-0.050.55-0.59-0.05020-2014.115.8-1.6813.515.3-1.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 81, BOS 990.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
DEN 78, UTA 1160.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
SAS 81, HOU 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%