NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	81		Excitement	2.5 [1258]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +8.9%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	1.2 [1133]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -7.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	15	56%	0.04	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	69%	0.01	2	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01
Tyler Honeycutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	10	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	12	41%	-0.03	5	-0.04	8	62%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.01	-0.11	11	55%	0.10	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	7	86%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	64%	0.05	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	6	54%	0.06	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	7	63%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jared Sullinger	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	27.6	15.6	27.1	1.7	30.6	129.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.9%

SAC -0.5%

BOS +3.4%

BOS +0.4%

BOS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	17.0	14.6	15.4	89.0	108.8	104.1
season	15.0	14.9		104.7	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.2		101.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.4	17.5	16.9	18.4	17.0
BOS	14.0	13.0	14.4	17.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Honeycutt	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	1.0	17.4	-16.36	17.5	14.6	2.92
Jimmer Fredette	33	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-25	32	16.6	17.2	-0.62	16.6	13.6	3.02
James Johnson	2	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-15	12	12.5	17.1	-4.60	17.0	14.6	2.40
Isaiah Thomas	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-7	-4	16.5	17.5	-1.01	13.7	15.6	-1.93
Travis Outlaw	7	8	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-10	2	17.6	17.0	0.62	15.4	14.6	0.80
Francisco Garcia	44	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.22	-15	-3	-12	17.4	16.6	0.84	12.8	16.2	-3.37
Jason Thompson	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.18	-14	-4	-10	16.8	17.2	-0.44	13.6	15.5	-1.91
Tyreke Evans	78	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-9	0	17.1	16.4	0.72	14.9	13.2	1.61
DeMarcus Cousins	62	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.31	-19	1	-20	17.0	17.0	-0.05	15.0	13.8	1.25
Charles Hayes	39	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-13	8	18.1	16.2	1.84	15.0	14.4	0.65
Thomas Robinson	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-20	22	16.2	17.6	-1.35	14.8	14.6	0.21
Marcus Thornton	49	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-14	10	17.2	16.8	0.44	15.5	13.6	1.91
Aaron Brooks	12	12	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.09	-14	-4	-10	20.0	16.5	3.46	13.0	14.9	-1.90

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	53	53	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.20	23	-5	28	13.9	15.6	-1.69	18.5	14.9	3.52
Paul Pierce	60	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.39	28	-10	38	14.2	15.4	-1.17	17.3	16.5	0.86
Brandon Bass	72	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	0	18	14.6	14.8	-0.24	16.5	18.7	-2.20
Jason Terry	41	40	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	13	-8	14.6	14.7	-0.03	17.6	16.5	1.03
Leandro Barbosa	30	29	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	13	-8	14.3	14.8	-0.52	17.2	16.9	0.25
Avery Bradley	55	56	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.19	13	5	8	14.9	14.3	0.61	16.9	17.2	-0.32
Courtney Lee	51	52	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.23	13	5	8	14.6	14.7	-0.09	16.4	17.7	-1.30
Jared Sullinger	9	9	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	12	-6	12.6	14.9	-2.32	16.6	17.0	-0.49
Jeff Green	36	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.38	-10	28	-38	15.3	14.2	1.09	16.7	17.2	-0.45
Chris Wilcox	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	21	-24	16.2	13.9	2.31	17.3	16.8	0.50
Jason Collins	18	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.18	-8	26	-34	15.4	14.5	0.92	14.2	17.7	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 88, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIA 86, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
DEN 78, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%