NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	8.2 [284]		MVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): +19.6%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	2.0 [743]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -32.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.09	0.00	14	69%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.06,0.2,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.03	15	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
David Nwaba	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	5	36%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
JR Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	16	44%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Ante Zizic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.23	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.11	-0.00	8	11%	-0.20	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.09
Collin Sexton	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,-0.33	0.07	-0.39	0.01	16	59%	-0.31	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.02	8	88%	0.16	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Chandler Hutchison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	5	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.01	6	75%	0.16	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.08	-0.00	13	43%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Justin Holiday	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	12	37%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	55%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.18	-0.18	0.02	-0.19	0.01	22	49%	-0.03	1	-0.16	5	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	24.1	14.4	27.6	2.5	29.5	123.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +68.2%

CHI +12.7%

CLE -30.1%

CLE -8.3%

CHI +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	13.9	14.3	101.0	103.1	109.3
season	15.5	14.6		106.3	104.2
opponent	14.3	13.9		112.4	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.0	14.7	14.7	17.5	15.9
CHI	12.3	13.0	15.9	14.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	67	67	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.11	12	-13	25	16.3	15.2	1.10	14.0	13.7	0.26
Larry Nance Jr.	61	61	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-5	9	16.5	15.0	1.52	14.2	13.4	0.75
Andrew Harrison	30	29	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-7	13	15.0	16.4	-1.39	12.9	14.3	-1.45
JR Smith	44	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.27	8	-9	17	16.8	15.2	1.55	13.9	13.9	-0.08
Rodney Hood	57	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.30	4	-5	9	16.4	15.2	1.20	14.1	13.7	0.40
David Nwaba	37	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	4	-9	14.6	16.7	-2.07	13.4	14.2	-0.75
Ante Zizic	30	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	12	-25	15.2	16.3	-1.10	13.7	14.0	-0.26
Collin Sexton	67	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	6	-13	16.4	15.0	1.39	14.3	12.9	1.45
Kyle Korver	41	41	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.56	-4	3	-7	15.3	16.4	-1.10	13.6	14.2	-0.60
Jordan Clarkson	51	51	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.56	-10	9	-19	15.4	16.5	-1.09	14.0	13.8	0.28

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Hutchison	38	38	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.52	9	-8	17	14.1	13.8	0.33	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Ryan Arcidiacono	57	58	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.28	11	-10	21	14.4	13.2	1.27	16.8	14.6	2.19
Zach LaVine	78	78	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	-5	11	14.1	13.1	1.05	16.1	15.2	0.96
Antonio Blakeney	38	40	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-8	17	13.8	14.0	-0.15	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Robin Lopez	45	47	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	-7	15	14.0	13.8	0.18	15.2	16.6	-1.43
Jabari Parker	59	60	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.34	-9	10	-19	13.7	14.2	-0.55	16.3	15.3	1.06
Justin Holiday	75	75	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.42	-12	13	-25	13.8	14.2	-0.42	15.9	16.1	-0.27
Shaquille Harrison	39	39	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.19	-10	11	-21	13.2	14.4	-1.27	14.6	16.8	-2.19
Wendell Carter Jr.	51	50	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.04	-7	8	-15	13.8	14.0	-0.18	16.6	15.2	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 81, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	91.9%
CHI 82, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.84,1	91.8%
PHI 108, LAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.96,1,1	91.8%