NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	103		Excitement	9.2 [150]		MVP	JJ Redick (PHI): +27.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	2.6 [675]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -31.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0,0.03,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	31	49%	0.06	2	-0.04	14	86%	0.06
Miles Bridges	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.07	-0.00	9	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Devonte' Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.04	0.02	12	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	8	22%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	5	20%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.04	0.24	-0.00	12	54%	0.27	0	0.00	4	100%	0.11
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.14	0.01	11	67%	0.26	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.08
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.05	-0.02	22	54%	0.11	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.12	0.01	9	55%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32	-0.32	-0.20	-0.12	-0.00	20	30%	-0.21	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.3	31.0	14.5	30.2	1.4	35.3	140.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +33.6%

PHI +7.4%

PHI +11.0%

CHA -8.0%

PHI +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	14.3	103.0	105.0	109.3
season	14.6	14.0		110.4	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.3		108.1	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.8	12.4	13.1	14.4	14.1
PHI	13.2	14.2	16.4	15.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	48	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-8	14	14.1	14.1	-0.07	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Nicolas Batum	65	65	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.38	12	-14	26	13.9	14.5	-0.55	14.8	14.5	0.24
Malik Monk	25	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	4	-10	14.0	14.1	-0.08	14.7	14.7	-0.04
Cody Zeller	54	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.21	-1	-1	0	14.1	14.1	0.06	13.9	15.7	-1.75
Devonte' Graham	28	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	5	-12	13.7	14.3	-0.59	15.0	14.6	0.41
Kemba Walker	72	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.40	5	-7	12	14.3	13.7	0.59	14.6	15.0	-0.41
Jeremy Lamb	59	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-2	2	14.5	13.5	1.00	14.2	15.4	-1.21
Bismack Biyombo	39	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	5	-12	14.6	13.8	0.80	15.6	14.2	1.42
Miles Bridges	65	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	2	-6	13.7	14.9	-1.16	14.7	14.6	0.08
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	45	46	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	6	-14	14.0	14.1	-0.10	15.6	14.0	1.60

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	66	65	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.53	6	-4	10	15.1	13.9	1.28	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Robert Covington	75	74	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-5	12	15.0	13.8	1.15	14.3	13.7	0.60
Dario Saric	66	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	2	-2	14.0	16.0	-1.97	14.6	13.2	1.43
Joel Embiid	78	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	4	-6	14.4	15.6	-1.14	13.7	15.4	-1.68
Mike Muscala	36	35	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	-4	10	14.9	14.6	0.30	13.9	14.2	-0.33
Ben Simmons	68	68	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.39	-6	8	-14	14.4	15.3	-0.90	14.3	13.7	0.61
Amir Johnson	12	11	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	-2	6	15.6	14.6	1.00	16.5	13.8	2.65
Markelle Fultz	51	52	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	0	2	14.9	14.5	0.33	14.3	13.9	0.39
T.J. McConnell	29	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	8	-14	14.2	14.9	-0.69	13.4	14.4	-1.00
Landry Shamet	19	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.09	-1	3	-4	15.8	14.4	1.41	12.8	14.4	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.62,0.53,0.71,0.54,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.8,0.71,0.85,0.95,1	92.1%
CHA 95, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.96,1	91.6%
WAS 89, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.73,1	91.5%