inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 115 Excitement6.5 [547] MVPPaul George (OKC): +26.9%
Miami Heat 93 Comeback3.7 [500] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -23.3%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul George0.270,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.090.09-0.101957%0.281-0.01989%0.04
Jerami Grant0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.130.130.05674%0.2000.001182%0.01
Patrick Patterson0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.090.08-0.003100%0.1700.001100%0.01
Raymond Felton0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.040.08-0.00760%0.141-0.021100%0.01
Alex Abrines0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.021125%0.0400.002100%0.01
Terrance Ferguson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.01550%0.0300.002100%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.01-0.00-0.021146%0.0300.002100%0.01
Nick Collison0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dakari Johnson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Huestis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Adams-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.00644%0.001-0.02425%-0.03
Russell Westbrook-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.07-0.022148%0.026-0.15683%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.130.07-0.011073%0.2100.0020%-0.03
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.030.08-0.021060%0.161-0.0200%0.00
James Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.04-0.01769%0.152-0.08250%-0.03
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.03-0.021060%0.142-0.0700%0.00
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.04-0.01-0.031460%0.122-0.06250%-0.01
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00360%0.0400.004100%0.02
Rodney McGruder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.01642%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.040.00530%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.03-0.041020%-0.082-0.0400%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.19-0.09-0.041025%-0.125-0.11450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.42.427.514.623.01.833.2130.9
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +6.7%
OKC +32.5%
MIA -11.7%
OKC +20.1%
OKC +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMIANBAOKCMIANBA
this game13.715.414.7116.293.9107.5
season14.215.1109.4105.4
opponent14.615.3105.8106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.113.513.613.613.7
MIA14.116.514.616.415.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerami Grant40400.65-0.150.80-0.0524-22614.013.50.5216.414.71.72
Raymond Felton25270.470.030.450.03157815.413.22.2016.115.11.01
Patrick Patterson23210.440.060.380.151012-215.013.31.6115.615.30.31
Corey Brewer71700.380.120.25-0.06157813.813.50.3515.315.5-0.15
Terrance Ferguson18180.250.25-0.010.01814-616.113.22.8616.315.21.17
Russell Westbrook81800.240.26-0.02-0.111210213.016.8-3.7415.016.7-1.69
Alex Abrines25250.120.38-0.26-0.171012-212.614.1-1.4915.615.30.30
Carmelo Anthony65650.050.45-0.40-0.21913-413.314.5-1.1515.115.8-0.69
Paul George76760.050.45-0.41-0.13616-1013.514.4-0.8815.415.30.03
Nick Collison110.000.50-0.500.00022-2222.013.68.371.015.5-14.52
Dakari Johnson110.000.50-0.500.00022-2222.013.68.371.015.5-14.52
Josh Huestis230.000.50-0.50-0.06220-1820.513.66.9214.315.4-1.07
Steven Adams6768-0.140.64-0.78-0.11-123-2413.214.9-1.7115.215.8-0.63

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Johnson46480.19-0.690.88-0.079-314014.216.4-2.2814.213.30.91
Tyler Johnson69700.12-0.620.730.14-1-212014.517.4-2.8613.614.0-0.35
Hassan Whiteside43430.03-0.530.550.14-4-181415.315.4-0.1714.313.30.99
Rodney McGruder320.00-0.500.500.06-2-201814.315.4-1.0720.513.66.92
Derrick Jones Jr.110.00-0.500.500.000-22221.015.5-14.5222.013.68.37
Bam Adebayo2828-0.01-0.490.47-0.010-222214.815.6-0.8212.914.0-1.15
Goran Dragic6362-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-191615.515.10.3713.014.9-1.96
Josh Richardson7069-0.34-0.16-0.190.04-13-9-415.016.3-1.2814.412.22.22
Wayne Ellington3029-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.06-13-9-416.015.10.9014.913.21.67
Kelly Olynyk2424-0.510.01-0.52-0.01-17-5-1216.714.91.7614.213.60.65
Dwyane Wade4949-0.690.19-0.880.22-319-4016.214.51.7212.914.6-1.70
Justise Winslow6970-0.790.29-1.080.24-3513-4816.512.83.7413.115.2-2.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.25,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 109, ORL 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.41,0.19,0.05,0.07,0.07,0,0.02,092.4%
TOR 102, WAS 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,092.1%
DEN 94, SEA 820.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.49,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,091.9%